LEAP DATASET SUMMARY |
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CHINA
Dataset as Prepared for the East Asia Energy Futures/Asia Energy Security
Project |
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Printout
Prepared by: Lea Prince, Nautilus
Institute |
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Date
Prepared: 4/6/2004 |
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All
data were extracted from LEAP dataset (version "China", dated
03/08/2003) prepared as a part of the Asia Energy Security/East Asia Energy
Futures Project. LEAP dataset
prepared by the China EAEF Team: Mr. Guo Baolei, Professor Zhang Aling,
Professor Wang Yanjia, and Dr. Gu Alun.
Transformation data show results. |
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LEAP
TRANSFORMATION |
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Capacity |
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All 2000 data
are interpolated from 1999 'actual data' |
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Current Accounts |
Business As Usual - Reference |
Sustainable Development |
High Priority External |
High Priority Internal |
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Branch |
Scale |
Units |
1999 |
2000 |
2010 |
2020 |
2030 |
2000 |
2010 |
2020 |
2030 |
2000 |
2010 |
2020 |
2030 |
2000 |
2010 |
2020 |
2030 |
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Transformation |
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Transmission & Distribution |
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Processes |
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Electricity |
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Electricity Generation |
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Processes |
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Existing Lar Scale Coal Fire |
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Megawatt |
80,370.00 |
79,073.71 |
66,110.81 |
53,147.90 |
40,185.00 |
79,073.71 |
66,110.81 |
53,147.90 |
40,185.00 |
79,073.71 |
66,110.81 |
53,147.90 |
40,185.00 |
79,073.71 |
66,110.81 |
53,147.90 |
40,185.00 |
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Large&mid Hydro |
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Megawatt |
52,053.50 |
57,321.36 |
110,000.00 |
160,000.00 |
190,000.00 |
57,321.36 |
110,000.00 |
160,000.00 |
190,000.00 |
57,321.36 |
110,000.00 |
160,000.00 |
190,000.00 |
57,321.36 |
110,000.00 |
160,000.00 |
190,000.00 |
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Nuclear |
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Megawatt |
2,100.00 |
2,633.33 |
8,700.00 |
8,700.00 |
8,700.00 |
2,633.33 |
8,700.00 |
8,700.00 |
8,700.00 |
2,633.33 |
8,700.00 |
8,700.00 |
8,700.00 |
2,633.33 |
8,700.00 |
8,700.00 |
8,700.00 |
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Windpower |
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Megawatt |
268.00 |
320.00 |
840.00 |
1,100.00 |
1,100.00 |
320.00 |
840.00 |
1,100.00 |
1,100.00 |
320.00 |
840.00 |
1,100.00 |
1,100.00 |
300.00 |
1,566.67 |
3,466.67 |
6,000.00 |
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Low&mid Scale Coal fire |
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Megawatt |
109,400.00 |
107,635.48 |
89,990.32 |
72,345.16 |
54,700.00 |
107,635.48 |
89,990.32 |
72,345.16 |
54,700.00 |
107,733.33 |
79,520.00 |
39,760.00 |
- |
107,635.48 |
89,990.32 |
72,345.16 |
54,700.00 |
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Gas fire |
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Megawatt |
5,104.09 |
4,972.37 |
3,655.19 |
2,338.00 |
1,020.82 |
4,972.37 |
3,655.19 |
2,338.00 |
1,020.82 |
4,939.44 |
3,292.96 |
1,646.48 |
- |
4,972.37 |
3,655.19 |
2,338.00 |
1,020.82 |
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Oil combustion |
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Megawatt |
5,353.34 |
5,215.19 |
3,833.68 |
2,452.18 |
1,070.67 |
5,215.19 |
3,833.68 |
2,452.18 |
1,070.67 |
5,180.65 |
3,453.77 |
1,726.88 |
- |
5,215.19 |
3,833.68 |
2,452.18 |
1,070.67 |
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CHP |
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Megawatt |
24,938.50 |
27,938.50 |
57,938.50 |
87,938.50 |
117,938.50 |
27,938.50 |
57,938.50 |
87,938.50 |
117,938.50 |
27,938.50 |
57,938.50 |
87,938.50 |
117,938.50 |
27,938.50 |
57,938.50 |
87,938.50 |
117,938.50 |
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Small hydro |
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Megawatt |
20,916.50 |
22,097.08 |
32,500.00 |
37,000.00 |
37,000.00 |
22,097.08 |
32,500.00 |
37,000.00 |
37,000.00 |
22,097.08 |
32,500.00 |
37,000.00 |
37,000.00 |
22,097.08 |
32,500.00 |
37,000.00 |
37,000.00 |
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Solar pv |
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Megawatt |
13.00 |
18.50 |
174.00 |
320.00 |
320.00 |
18.50 |
174.00 |
320.00 |
320.00 |
18.50 |
174.00 |
320.00 |
320.00 |
18.50 |
174.00 |
320.00 |
320.00 |
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Geothermal |
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Megawatt |
25.00 |
30.00 |
87.50 |
110.00 |
110.00 |
30.00 |
87.50 |
110.00 |
110.00 |
30.00 |
87.50 |
110.00 |
110.00 |
30.00 |
87.50 |
137.70 |
137.70 |
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Advanced Large Coal fire |
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Megawatt |
-
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- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
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CCGT base load |
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Megawatt |
-
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- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
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New Wind |
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Megawatt |
-
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- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
322.58 |
3,548.39 |
6,774.19 |
10,000.00 |
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New Biomass |
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Megawatt |
-
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- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
272.73 |
3,000.00 |
15,000.00 |
20,000.00 |
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New Landfill Gas |
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Megawatt |
-
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- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
483.87 |
5,322.58 |
10,161.29 |
15,000.00 |
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New GT NGas |
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Megawatt |
-
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- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
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Heat supply |
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Processes |
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Coal Process |
Million |
Tonne Coal Equiv/Year |
83.80 |
99.21 |
163.32 |
227.42 |
291.52 |
99.21 |
163.32 |
227.42 |
291.52 |
99.21 |
163.32 |
227.42 |
291.52 |
99.21 |
163.32 |
227.42 |
291.52 |
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Manufactured gas process |
Million |
Tonne Coal Equiv/Year |
4.91 |
4.13 |
7.15 |
10.17 |
13.19 |
4.13 |
7.15 |
10.17 |
13.19 |
4.13 |
7.15 |
10.17 |
13.19 |
4.13 |
7.15 |
10.17 |
13.19 |
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Oil fired process |
Million |
Tonne Coal Equiv/Year |
8.20 |
8.20 |
8.20 |
8.20 |
8.20 |
8.20 |
8.20 |
8.20 |
8.20 |
8.20 |
8.20 |
8.20 |
8.20 |
8.20 |
8.20 |
8.20 |
8.20 |
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NG fired process |
Million |
Tonne Coal Equiv/Year |
2.28 |
2.53 |
5.02 |
7.51 |
10.00 |
2.53 |
5.02 |
7.51 |
10.00 |
2.53 |
5.02 |
7.51 |
10.00 |
2.53 |
5.02 |
7.51 |
10.00 |
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Gas making |
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Processes |
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All
Process |
Thousand |
Tonne Coal Equiv/Year |
7,000.00 |
7,350.00 |
11,972.38 |
19,501.74 |
31,766.28 |
7,350.00 |
11,972.38 |
19,501.74 |
31,766.28 |
7,350.00 |
11,972.38 |
19,501.74 |
31,766.28 |
7,350.00 |
11,972.38 |
19,501.74 |
31,766.28 |
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Coking |
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Processes |
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All Process |
Million |
Tonne Coal Equiv/Year |
120.57 |
126.74 |
188.43 |
250.13 |
311.82 |
126.74 |
188.43 |
250.13 |
311.82 |
126.74 |
188.43 |
250.13 |
311.82 |
126.74 |
188.43 |
250.13 |
311.82 |
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Briquette making |
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Processes |
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All Process |
Million |
Tonne Coal Equiv/Year |
50.00 |
52.50 |
85.52 |
139.30 |
226.90 |
52.50 |
85.52 |
139.30 |
226.90 |
52.50 |
85.52 |
139.30 |
226.90 |
52.50 |
85.52 |
139.30 |
226.90 |
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Biogas making |
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Processes |
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All Process |
Million |
Tonne Coal Equiv/Year |
1.43 |
1.50 |
2.45 |
3.99 |
6.49 |
1.50 |
2.45 |
3.99 |
6.49 |
1.50 |
2.45 |
3.99 |
6.49 |
1.57 |
4.08 |
10.59 |
27.47 |
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Coal washing |
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Processes |
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All Coal washing |
Million |
Tonne Coal Equiv/Year |
440.72 |
462.38 |
678.92 |
895.46 |
1,112.00 |
462.38 |
678.92 |
895.46 |
1,112.00 |
462.38 |
678.92 |
895.46 |
1,112.00 |
462.38 |
678.92 |
895.46 |
1,112.00 |
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Oil Refining |
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Processes |
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All Refining |
Million |
Tonne Coal Equiv/Year |
310.49 |
322.94 |
447.44 |
571.94 |
696.44 |
322.94 |
447.44 |
571.94 |
696.44 |
322.94 |
447.44 |
571.94 |
696.44 |
322.94 |
447.44 |
571.94 |
696.44 |
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Oil Extraction |
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Processes |
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New Process |
Million |
Tonne Coal Equiv/Year |
228.58 |
231.44 |
260.04 |
288.64 |
317.24 |
231.44 |
260.04 |
288.64 |
317.24 |
231.44 |
260.04 |
288.64 |
317.24 |
237.16 |
322.96 |
408.76 |
494.56 |
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NG extraction |
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Processes |
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New Process |
Million |
Tonne Coal Equiv/Year |
35.91 |
41.09 |
98.00 |
160.00 |
222.00 |
41.09 |
98.00 |
160.00 |
222.00 |
41.09 |
98.00 |
160.00 |
222.00 |
41.09 |
98.00 |
160.00 |
222.00 |
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