LEAP
DATASET SUMMARY |
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JAPAN
Dataset as Prepared for the East Asia Energy Futures/Asia Energy Security
Project, |
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as
modified for use in the Japan WWF "Power Switch" Analysis of Energy
Futures for Japan |
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Printout
Prepared by: Lea Prince, Nautilus
Institute |
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Date Prepared: 3/22/2004 |
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All
data were extracted from LEAP dataset (version "WWF_Japan_11T",
dated 1/26/04) prepared for WWF Japan.
LEAP dataset prepared by:
Masami Nakata, Junichiro Oda, Charles Heaps and David Von Hippel --
October, 2003 |
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LEAP
DEMAND DATA |
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Fuel Share |
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Business As
Usual |
Power Switch |
Branch |
Units |
2000 |
2005 |
2010 |
2015 |
2020 |
2000 |
2005 |
2010 |
2015 |
2020 |
Key Variables |
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Retiring plant hydro |
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Retired plant nuclear |
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Retired plant thermal |
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Population |
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GDP |
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RPS |
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Retiring plant hydro |
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Retired plant nuclear |
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Retired plant thermal |
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Population |
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GDP |
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RPS |
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Demand |
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Residential |
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Space heating |
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Cooling |
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air conditioner |
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Hot water supply |
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Cooking |
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Motive energy & Others |
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refrigerator with freezer |
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clothes washer |
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cloth drier |
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vacuum |
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TVC_1st |
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TVC_2nd |
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microwave oven |
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electric rice cooker |
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douche & air dryer for attachment
to a toilet |
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dish washer with dryer |
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personal computer |
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el. carpet |
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foot warmer "Kotatsu" |
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other |
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Lighting |
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Electricity Saving Technologies |
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Cogeneration and Distributed Generation |
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Fuel Cell Cogeneration |
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Distributed Photovoltaics |
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Commercial |
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Cooling |
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Electricity |
% |
64.49 |
64.00 |
64.00 |
63.50 |
63.00 |
64.49 |
64.00 |
64.00 |
63.50 |
63.00 |
LPG |
% |
7.33 |
7.44 |
7.25 |
7.14 |
7.02 |
7.33 |
7.44 |
7.25 |
7.14 |
7.02 |
Municipal Gas |
% |
15.10 |
16.56 |
17.75 |
18.87 |
19.98 |
15.10 |
16.56 |
17.75 |
18.87 |
19.98 |
Kerosene |
% |
2.68 |
2.28 |
1.98 |
1.79 |
1.60 |
2.68 |
2.28 |
1.98 |
1.79 |
1.60 |
Diesel |
% |
0.09 |
0.10 |
0.10 |
0.11
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0.11
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0.09
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0.10 |
0.10 |
0.11
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0.11
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Residual Fuel Oil |
% |
10.29 |
9.62 |
8.92 |
8.61 |
8.29 |
10.29 |
9.62 |
8.92 |
8.61 |
8.29 |
Natural Gas |
% |
0.02 |
- |
- |
- |
- |
0.02
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- |
- |
- |
- |
Space Heating |
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Electricity |
% |
7.56 |
9.34 |
10.29 |
10.78 |
11.25 |
7.56 |
9.28 |
10.17 |
10.56 |
10.94 |
LPG |
% |
3.22 |
3.66 |
3.98 |
4.28 |
4.58 |
3.22 |
3.64 |
3.93 |
4.19 |
4.45 |
Municipal Gas |
% |
8.10 |
9.58 |
11.18 |
12.82 |
14.47 |
8.10 |
9.55 |
11.09 |
12.61 |
14.11 |
Kerosene |
% |
16.34 |
14.38 |
13.06 |
11.93 |
10.80 |
16.34 |
14.30 |
12.90 |
11.67 |
10.50 |
Diesel |
% |
0.57 |
0.61
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0.66
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0.70 |
0.74
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0.57
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0.61
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0.65
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0.69
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0.72
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Residual Fuel Oil |
% |
62.72 |
60.71 |
58.83 |
57.41 |
55.97 |
62.72 |
60.34 |
58.12 |
56.24 |
54.43 |
Natural Gas |
% |
0.01 |
- |
- |
- |
- |
0.01
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- |
- |
- |
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Heat from Cogen |
% |
1.48 |
1.72 |
2.00 |
2.08 |
2.19 |
1.48 |
2.28 |
3.14 |
4.04 |
4.85 |
Hot Water Supply |
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LPG |
% |
10.75 |
11.27 |
11.38 |
11.16 |
10.94 |
10.75 |
11.19 |
11.06 |
10.56 |
10.02 |
Municipal Gas |
% |
27.79 |
30.45 |
33.21 |
34.84 |
36.49 |
27.79 |
30.26 |
32.34 |
33.03 |
33.26 |
Kerosene |
% |
10.98 |
9.33 |
8.12 |
7.35 |
6.58 |
10.98 |
9.27 |
7.90 |
6.96 |
6.02 |
Diesel |
% |
0.38 |
0.39
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0.40 |
0.43
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0.45
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0.38
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0.39
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0.39
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0.40 |
0.41
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Residual Fuel Oil |
% |
42.11 |
39.39 |
36.59 |
35.34 |
34.08 |
42.11 |
39.11 |
35.59 |
33.45 |
31.41 |
Solar Heat |
% |
0.24 |
0.26
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0.29
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0.31
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0.32
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0.24
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0.50 |
1.50 |
3.00 |
5.00 |
Geothermal Heat |
% |
1.18 |
1.26 |
1.33 |
1.32 |
1.30 |
1.18 |
1.26 |
1.33 |
1.32 |
1.30 |
Heat |
% |
5.05 |
5.85 |
6.71 |
7.19 |
7.67 |
5.05 |
5.85 |
6.71 |
7.19 |
7.67 |
Natural Gas |
% |
0.04 |
- |
- |
- |
- |
0.04
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- |
- |
- |
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Heat from Cogen |
% |
1.48 |
1.80 |
1.97 |
2.06 |
2.17 |
1.48 |
2.17 |
3.18 |
4.09 |
4.91 |
Cooking |
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LPG |
% |
30.75 |
29.51 |
27.84 |
26.53 |
25.22 |
30.75 |
29.51 |
27.84 |
26.53 |
25.22 |
Municipal Gas |
% |
63.29 |
65.69 |
68.16 |
69.97 |
71.78 |
63.29 |
65.69 |
68.16 |
69.97 |
71.78 |
Metalurgical Coke |
% |
5.86 |
4.80 |
4.00 |
3.50 |
3.00 |
5.86 |
4.80 |
4.00 |
3.50 |
3.00 |
Natural Gas |
% |
0.10 |
- |
- |
- |
- |
0.10 |
- |
- |
- |
- |
Motive Energy and Other |
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Electricity |
% |
100.00 |
100.00 |
100.00 |
100.00 |
100.00 |
100.00 |
100.00 |
100.00 |
100.00 |
100.00 |
Electricity Saving Technologies |
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Cogeneration and distributed PVs |
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Cogeneration engine or turbine |
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Distributed Photovoltaics |
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Industry |
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Manufacturing Industry |
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Paper |
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Chemicals |
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Ceramic |
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Steel |
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Other Manufacturing |
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Food Products |
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Textiles & Fiber |
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Non ferrous Metals |
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Metal Finishing |
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Agriculture_forestry |
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Mining |
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Construction |
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Fishing |
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Electricity Saving Technologies |
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Distributed Photovoltaics |
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Transport |
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Passenger |
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Road_Private |
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Road_Commercial |
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Bus |
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Train |
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Boats |
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Flight |
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Portage |
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Road |
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Train |
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Ship |
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Flight |
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