LEAP
DATASET SUMMARY |
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JAPAN
Dataset as Prepared for the East Asia Energy Futures/Asia Energy Security
Project, |
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as
modified for use in the Japan WWF "Power Switch" Analysis of Energy
Futures for Japan |
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Printout
Prepared by: Lea Prince, Nautilus
Institute |
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Date Prepared: 3/22/2004 |
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All
data were extracted from LEAP dataset (version "WWF_Japan_11T",
dated 1/26/04) prepared for WWF Japan.
LEAP dataset prepared by:
Masami Nakata, Junichiro Oda, Charles Heaps and David Von Hippel --
October, 2003 Transformation Data shows
results
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LEAP
TRANSFORMATION DATA |
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Maximum Capacity Factor |
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Business As
Usual |
Power Switch |
Branch |
Units |
2000 |
2005 |
2010 |
2015 |
2020 |
2000 |
2005 |
2010 |
2015 |
2020 |
Transformation |
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Transmission & Distribution
Electricity |
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Processes |
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Electricity |
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Transmission and Distribution District
Heat |
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Processes |
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District Heat Distribution |
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District Heat Production |
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Processes |
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All District Heat as of 2000 |
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Electricity Generation |
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Processes |
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Existing Coal Fired |
% |
80.00 |
80.00 |
80.00 |
80.00 |
80.00 |
80.00 |
80.00 |
80.00 |
80.00 |
80.00 |
New Coal Fired Plants |
% |
80.00 |
80.00 |
80.00 |
80.00 |
80.00 |
80.00 |
80.00 |
80.00 |
80.00 |
80.00 |
Fluidized Bed Combustion Coal |
% |
80.00 |
80.00 |
80.00 |
80.00 |
80.00 |
80.00 |
80.00 |
80.00 |
80.00 |
80.00 |
IGCC |
% |
80.00 |
80.00 |
80.00 |
80.00 |
80.00 |
80.00 |
80.00 |
80.00 |
80.00 |
80.00 |
Existing Oil Fired |
% |
27.00 |
29.60 |
32.20 |
34.80 |
37.40 |
27.00 |
29.60 |
32.20 |
34.80 |
37.40 |
New Oil Fired |
% |
30.00 |
32.00 |
34.00 |
36.00 |
38.00 |
30.00 |
32.00 |
34.00 |
36.00 |
38.00 |
Cogen Diesel Engine |
% |
65.00 |
65.00 |
65.00 |
65.00 |
65.00 |
65.00 |
65.00 |
65.00 |
65.00 |
65.00 |
Combustion Turbine |
% |
75.00 |
75.00 |
75.00 |
75.00 |
75.00 |
75.00 |
75.00 |
75.00 |
75.00 |
75.00 |
Large Hydro |
% |
55.00 |
55.00 |
55.00 |
55.00 |
55.00 |
55.00 |
55.00 |
55.00 |
55.00 |
55.00 |
Existing Pumped storage hydro |
% |
4.00 |
4.00 |
4.00 |
4.00 |
4.00 |
4.00 |
4.00 |
4.00 |
4.00 |
4.00 |
New Pump Storage Hydro |
% |
4.00 |
4.00 |
4.00 |
4.00 |
4.00 |
4.00 |
4.00 |
4.00 |
4.00 |
4.00 |
Existing Nuclear |
% |
82.00 |
80.00 |
80.00 |
80.00 |
80.00 |
82.00 |
80.00 |
80.00 |
80.00 |
80.00 |
New Nuclear |
% |
80.00 |
80.00 |
80.00 |
80.00 |
80.00 |
80.00 |
80.00 |
80.00 |
80.00 |
80.00 |
Existing Natural Gas |
% |
51.00 |
50.80 |
50.60 |
50.40 |
50.20 |
51.00 |
50.80 |
50.60 |
50.40 |
50.20 |
New Natural Gas |
% |
50.00 |
54.00 |
58.00 |
62.00 |
66.00 |
50.00 |
54.00 |
58.00 |
62.00 |
66.00 |
Geothermal |
% |
80.00 |
80.00 |
80.00 |
80.00 |
80.00 |
80.00 |
80.00 |
80.00 |
80.00 |
80.00 |
Combined Cycle NG |
% |
70.00 |
70.00 |
70.00 |
70.00 |
70.00 |
70.00 |
70.00 |
70.00 |
70.00 |
70.00 |
Cogen Natural Gas Turbine |
% |
40.00 |
40.00 |
40.00 |
40.00 |
40.00 |
40.00 |
40.00 |
40.00 |
40.00 |
40.00 |
Cogen Natural Gas Engine |
% |
40.00 |
40.00 |
40.00 |
40.00 |
40.00 |
40.00 |
40.00 |
40.00 |
40.00 |
40.00 |
Fuel Cells |
% |
91.00 |
75.50 |
60.00 |
55.00 |
50.00 |
91.00 |
75.50 |
60.00 |
55.00 |
50.00 |
MCFC |
% |
100.00 |
100.00 |
100.00 |
100.00 |
100.00 |
100.00 |
100.00 |
100.00 |
100.00 |
100.00 |
Wind |
% |
30.00 |
30.00 |
30.00 |
30.00 |
30.00 |
30.00 |
30.00 |
30.00 |
30.00 |
30.00 |
Photovoltaics |
% |
20.00 |
20.00 |
20.00 |
20.00 |
20.00 |
20.00 |
20.00 |
20.00 |
20.00 |
20.00 |
MSW |
% |
60.00 |
60.00 |
60.00 |
60.00 |
60.00 |
60.00 |
60.00 |
60.00 |
60.00 |
60.00 |
Industry Waste |
% |
50.00 |
50.00 |
50.00 |
50.00 |
50.00 |
50.00 |
50.00 |
50.00 |
50.00 |
50.00 |
Digestor gas |
% |
100.00 |
100.00 |
100.00 |
100.00 |
100.00 |
100.00 |
100.00 |
100.00 |
100.00 |
100.00 |
Black Liquor and Wood Wastes |
% |
60.00 |
60.00 |
60.00 |
60.00 |
60.00 |
60.00 |
60.00 |
60.00 |
60.00 |
60.00 |
Micro Gas Turbine |
% |
100.00 |
100.00 |
100.00 |
100.00 |
100.00 |
100.00 |
100.00 |
100.00 |
100.00 |
100.00 |
Other Biomass |
% |
60.00 |
60.00 |
60.00 |
60.00 |
60.00 |
60.00 |
60.00 |
60.00 |
60.00 |
60.00 |
Others |
% |
100.00 |
100.00 |
100.00 |
100.00 |
100.00 |
100.00 |
100.00 |
100.00 |
100.00 |
100.00 |
Municipal Gas |
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Processes |
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Municipal Gas |
% |
85.00 |
85.00 |
85.00 |
85.00 |
85.00 |
85.00 |
85.00 |
85.00 |
85.00 |
85.00 |
Oil Refining |
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Processes |
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All Refineries |
% |
85.00 |
85.00 |
85.00 |
85.00 |
85.00 |
85.00 |
85.00 |
85.00 |
85.00 |
85.00 |
Coke |
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Processes |
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Metalurgical Coke |
% |
70.00 |
70.00 |
70.00 |
70.00 |
70.00 |
70.00 |
70.00 |
70.00 |
70.00 |
70.00 |
LNG Imports |
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Processes |
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Existing Capacity |
% |
40.00 |
40.00 |
40.00 |
40.00 |
40.00 |
40.00 |
40.00 |
40.00 |
40.00 |
40.00 |
New Capacity |
% |
40.00 |
40.00 |
40.00 |
40.00 |
40.00 |
40.00 |
40.00 |
40.00 |
40.00 |
40.00 |
Coal Mining |
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Processes |
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Domestic Coal Mining |
% |
80.00 |
- |
- |
- |
- |
80.00 |
- |
- |
- |
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Natural Gas Extraction |
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Processes |
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Existing Domestic Gas Extraction |
% |
100.00 |
100.00 |
100.00 |
100.00 |
100.00 |
100.00 |
100.00 |
100.00 |
100.00 |
100.00 |
Crude Oil Extraction |
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Processes |
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All Domestic Crude Oil and NGL
Production |
% |
90.00 |
90.00 |
90.00 |
90.00 |
90.00 |
90.00 |
90.00 |
90.00 |
90.00 |
90.00 |
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