LEAP
DATASET SUMMARY |
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JAPAN
Dataset as Prepared for the East Asia Energy Futures/Asia Energy Security
Project, |
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as
modified for use in the Japan WWF "Power Switch" Analysis of Energy
Futures for Japan |
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Printout
Prepared by: Lea Prince, Nautilus
Institute |
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Date Prepared: 3/22/2004 |
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All
data were extracted from LEAP dataset (version "WWF_Japan_11T",
dated 1/26/04) prepared for WWF Japan.
LEAP dataset prepared by:
Masami Nakata, Junichiro Oda, Charles Heaps and David Von Hippel --
October, 2003
Transformation Data shows results |
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LEAP
TRANSFORMATION DATA |
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Exogenous
Capacity |
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Business As
Usual |
Power Switch |
Branch |
Scale |
Units |
2000 |
2005 |
2010 |
2015 |
2020 |
2000 |
2005 |
2010 |
2015 |
2020 |
Transformation |
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Transmission & Distribution
Electricity |
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Processes |
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Electricity |
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Transmission and Distribution District
Heat |
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Processes |
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District Heat Distribution |
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District Heat Production |
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Processes |
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All District Heat as of 2000 |
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Electricity Generation |
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Processes |
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Existing Coal Fired |
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Gigawatt |
35.84 |
35.84 |
35.84 |
35.84 |
35.84 |
35.84 |
31.92 |
28.00
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19.92 |
11.84 |
New Coal Fired Plants |
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Gigawatt |
- |
4.08 |
8.16 |
12.66 |
17.16 |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
Fluidized Bed Combustion Coal |
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Gigawatt |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
IGCC |
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Gigawatt |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
Existing Oil Fired |
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Gigawatt |
63.95 |
55.49 |
48.14 |
45.78 |
43.54 |
63.95 |
55.49 |
48.14 |
41.34 |
35.50 |
New Oil Fired |
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Gigawatt |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
Cogen Diesel Engine |
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Gigawatt |
2.23 |
2.50 |
2.80 |
3.02 |
3.25 |
2.23 |
3.02 |
4.08 |
4.40 |
4.74 |
Combustion Turbine |
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Gigawatt |
0.72 |
0.72 |
0.72 |
0.72 |
0.72 |
0.72 |
0.72 |
0.72 |
0.72 |
0.72 |
Large Hydro |
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Gigawatt |
21.49 |
21.81 |
22.13 |
22.13 |
22.13 |
21.49 |
21.81 |
22.13 |
22.13 |
22.13 |
Existing Pumped storage hydro |
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Gigawatt |
24.83 |
24.83 |
24.83 |
24.83 |
24.83 |
24.83 |
24.83 |
24.83 |
24.83 |
24.83 |
New Pump Storage Hydro |
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Gigawatt |
- |
2.59 |
5.18 |
5.18 |
5.18 |
- |
2.59 |
5.18 |
5.18 |
5.18 |
Existing Nuclear |
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Gigawatt |
45.08 |
45.08 |
45.08 |
45.08 |
45.08 |
45.08 |
44.58 |
44.08 |
39.58 |
35.08 |
New Nuclear |
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Gigawatt |
- |
3.41 |
6.82 |
11.62 |
16.42 |
- |
2.33 |
4.66 |
5.81 |
6.95 |
Existing Natural Gas |
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Gigawatt |
55.48 |
55.48 |
55.48 |
55.48 |
55.48 |
55.48 |
51.73 |
47.98 |
42.23 |
36.48 |
New Natural Gas |
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Gigawatt |
- |
7.58 |
15.15 |
16.86 |
18.56 |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
Geothermal |
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Gigawatt |
0.56 |
0.58 |
0.59 |
0.57 |
0.54 |
0.56 |
0.58 |
0.59 |
0.57 |
0.54 |
Combined Cycle NG |
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Gigawatt |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
3.25 |
6.50 |
19.50 |
30.50 |
Cogen Natural Gas Turbine |
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Gigawatt |
2.73 |
3.06 |
3.42 |
3.69 |
3.98 |
2.73 |
3.69 |
4.99 |
5.38 |
5.80 |
Cogen Natural Gas Engine |
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Gigawatt |
0.55 |
0.62 |
0.69 |
0.74 |
0.80 |
0.55 |
0.74 |
1.01 |
1.08 |
1.17 |
Fuel Cells |
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Gigawatt |
0.01 |
0.02 |
0.03 |
0.06 |
0.09 |
0.01 |
0.16 |
0.30 |
1.15 |
2.00
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MCFC |
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Gigawatt |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
Wind |
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Gigawatt |
0.11 |
0.45 |
0.78 |
1.01 |
1.23 |
0.11 |
1.31 |
2.50 |
6.75 |
11.00
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Photovoltaics |
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Gigawatt |
0.25 |
1.39 |
2.54 |
3.10 |
3.65 |
0.25 |
1.62 |
3.00
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6.50 |
10.00
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MSW |
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Gigawatt |
0.98 |
1.36 |
1.75 |
1.97 |
2.19 |
0.98 |
2.57 |
4.17 |
4.58 |
4.98 |
Industry Waste |
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Gigawatt |
0.13 |
0.13 |
0.13 |
0.13 |
0.13 |
0.13 |
0.13 |
0.13 |
0.13 |
0.13 |
Digestor gas |
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Gigawatt |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
Black Liquor and Wood Wastes |
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Gigawatt |
3.10 |
3.22 |
3.35 |
3.35 |
3.35 |
3.10 |
3.22 |
3.35 |
3.35 |
3.35 |
Micro Gas Turbine |
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Gigawatt |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
Other Biomass |
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Gigawatt |
0.08 |
0.09 |
0.09 |
0.10 |
0.11 |
0.08 |
0.50 |
1.00
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2.00
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4.00
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Others |
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Gigawatt |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
Municipal Gas |
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Processes |
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Municipal Gas |
Million |
Gigajoules/Year |
1,300.00 |
1,400.00 |
1,500.00 |
1,600.00 |
1,700.00 |
1,300.00 |
1,400.00 |
1,500.00 |
1,600.00 |
1,700.00 |
Oil Refining |
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Processes |
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All Refineries |
Million |
Gigajoules/Year |
11,232.00 |
11,232.00 |
11,232.00 |
11,232.00 |
11,232.00 |
11,232.00 |
11,232.00 |
11,232.00 |
11,232.00 |
11,232.00 |
Coke |
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Processes |
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Metalurgical Coke |
Million |
Gigajoules/Year |
2,200.00 |
2,200.00 |
2,200.00 |
2,200.00 |
2,200.00 |
2,200.00 |
2,200.00 |
2,200.00 |
2,200.00 |
2,200.00 |
LNG Imports |
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Processes |
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Existing Capacity |
Billion |
Gigajoules/Year |
8.60 |
8.60 |
8.60 |
8.60 |
8.60 |
8.60 |
8.60 |
8.60 |
8.60 |
8.60 |
New Capacity |
Billion |
Gigajoules/Year |
- |
0.50 |
1.50 |
2.50 |
2.50 |
- |
0.30 |
1.00
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1.80 |
2.80 |
Coal Mining |
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Processes |
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Domestic Coal Mining |
Million |
Gigajoules/Year |
100.00 |
100.00 |
100.00 |
100.00 |
100.00 |
100.00 |
100.00 |
100.00 |
100.00 |
100.00 |
Natural Gas Extraction |
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Processes |
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Existing Domestic Gas Extraction |
Million |
Gigajoules/Year |
100.62 |
111.09 |
122.66 |
135.42 |
149.52 |
100.62 |
111.09 |
122.66 |
135.42 |
149.52 |
Crude Oil Extraction |
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Processes |
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All Domestic Crude Oil and NGL
Production |
Million |
Gigajoules/Year |
44.67 |
44.67 |
44.67 |
44.67 |
44.67 |
44.67 |
44.67 |
44.67 |
44.67 |
44.67 |
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