LEAP
DATASET SUMMARY |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
JAPAN
Dataset as Prepared for the East Asia Energy Futures/Asia Energy Security
Project, |
|
as
modified for use in the Japan WWF "Power Switch" Analysis of Energy
Futures for Japan |
|
|
|
Printout
Prepared by: Lea Prince, Nautilus
Institute |
|
|
Date Prepared: 3/22/2004 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
All
data were extracted from LEAP dataset (version "WWF_Japan_11T",
dated 1/26/04) prepared for WWF Japan.
LEAP dataset prepared by:
Masami Nakata, Junichiro Oda, Charles Heaps and David Von Hippel --
October, 2003 Transformation Data shows
results
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
LEAP
TRANSFORMATION DATA |
|
|
|
Efficiency |
|
|
Business As
Usual |
Power Switch |
Branch |
Units |
2000 |
2005 |
2010 |
2015 |
2020 |
2000 |
2005 |
2010 |
2015 |
2020 |
Transformation |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Transmission & Distribution
Electricity |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Processes |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Electricity |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Transmission and Distribution District
Heat |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Processes |
|
|
|
|
|
|
District Heat Distribution |
|
|
|
|
|
|
District Heat Production |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Processes |
|
|
|
|
|
|
All District Heat as of 2000 |
% |
85.00 |
85.00 |
85.00 |
85.00 |
85.00 |
85.00 |
85.00 |
85.00 |
85.00 |
85.00 |
Electricity Generation |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Processes |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Existing Coal Fired |
% |
39.98 |
39.98 |
39.98 |
39.98 |
39.98 |
39.98 |
40.49 |
41.00 |
42.00 |
43.00 |
New Coal Fired Plants |
% |
42.00 |
42.00 |
42.00 |
42.00 |
42.00 |
42.00 |
42.00 |
42.00 |
42.00 |
42.00 |
Fluidized Bed Combustion Coal |
% |
42.00 |
42.75 |
43.50 |
44.25 |
45.00 |
42.00 |
44.00 |
44.00 |
44.00 |
44.00 |
IGCC |
% |
42.00 |
44.00 |
46.00 |
48.00 |
50.00 |
42.00 |
50.00 |
50.00 |
50.00 |
50.00 |
Existing Oil Fired |
% |
39.98 |
39.98 |
39.98 |
39.98 |
39.98 |
39.98 |
39.98 |
39.98 |
39.98 |
39.98 |
New Oil Fired |
% |
39.98 |
39.98 |
39.98 |
39.98 |
39.98 |
39.98 |
39.98 |
39.98 |
39.98 |
39.98 |
Cogen Diesel Engine |
% |
43.00 |
43.00 |
43.00 |
43.00 |
43.00 |
43.00 |
43.00 |
43.00 |
43.00 |
43.00 |
Combustion Turbine |
% |
39.98 |
39.98 |
39.98 |
39.98 |
39.98 |
39.98 |
39.98 |
39.98 |
39.98 |
39.98 |
Large Hydro |
% |
100.00 |
100.00 |
100.00 |
100.00 |
100.00 |
100.00 |
100.00 |
100.00 |
100.00 |
100.00 |
Existing Pumped storage hydro |
% |
50.00 |
50.00 |
50.00 |
50.00 |
50.00 |
50.00 |
50.00 |
50.00 |
50.00 |
50.00 |
New Pump Storage Hydro |
% |
50.00 |
50.00 |
50.00 |
50.00 |
50.00 |
50.00 |
50.00 |
50.00 |
50.00 |
50.00 |
Existing Nuclear |
% |
33.00 |
33.00 |
33.00 |
33.00 |
33.00 |
33.00 |
33.00 |
33.00 |
33.00 |
33.00 |
New Nuclear |
% |
33.00 |
33.00 |
33.00 |
33.00 |
33.00 |
33.00 |
33.00 |
33.00 |
33.00 |
33.00 |
Existing Natural Gas |
% |
39.98 |
39.98 |
39.98 |
39.98 |
39.98 |
39.98 |
39.98 |
39.98 |
39.98 |
39.98 |
New Natural Gas |
% |
49.00 |
49.00 |
49.00 |
49.00 |
49.00 |
49.00 |
49.00 |
49.00 |
49.00 |
49.00 |
Geothermal |
% |
10.00 |
10.00 |
10.00 |
10.00 |
10.00 |
10.00 |
10.00 |
10.00 |
10.00 |
10.00 |
Combined Cycle NG |
% |
50.00 |
50.00 |
50.00 |
50.00 |
50.00 |
50.00 |
50.00 |
50.00 |
50.00 |
50.00 |
Cogen Natural Gas Turbine |
% |
32.00 |
32.00 |
32.00 |
32.00 |
32.00 |
32.00 |
32.00 |
32.00 |
32.00 |
32.00 |
Cogen Natural Gas Engine |
% |
40.00 |
40.00 |
40.00 |
40.00 |
40.00 |
40.00 |
40.00 |
40.00 |
40.00 |
40.00 |
Fuel Cells |
% |
35.00 |
40.00 |
45.00 |
50.00 |
55.00 |
35.00 |
40.00 |
45.00 |
50.00 |
55.00 |
MCFC |
% |
50.00 |
50.00 |
50.00 |
50.00 |
50.00 |
50.00 |
50.00 |
50.00 |
50.00 |
50.00 |
Wind |
% |
33.00 |
33.00 |
33.00 |
33.00 |
33.00 |
33.00 |
33.00 |
33.00 |
33.00 |
33.00 |
Photovoltaics |
% |
15.00 |
15.00 |
15.00 |
15.00 |
15.00 |
15.00 |
15.00 |
15.00 |
15.00 |
15.00 |
MSW |
% |
20.00 |
20.00 |
20.00 |
20.00 |
20.00 |
20.00 |
20.00 |
20.00 |
20.00 |
20.00 |
Industry Waste |
% |
20.00 |
20.00 |
20.00 |
20.00 |
20.00 |
20.00 |
20.00 |
20.00 |
20.00 |
20.00 |
Digestor gas |
% |
30.00 |
30.00 |
30.00 |
30.00 |
30.00 |
30.00 |
30.00 |
30.00 |
30.00 |
30.00 |
Black Liquor and Wood Wastes |
% |
38.10 |
38.10 |
38.10 |
38.10 |
38.10 |
38.10 |
38.10 |
38.10 |
38.10 |
38.10 |
Micro Gas Turbine |
% |
30.00 |
30.00 |
30.00 |
30.00 |
30.00 |
30.00 |
30.00 |
30.00 |
30.00 |
30.00 |
Other Biomass |
% |
33.00 |
33.00 |
33.00 |
33.00 |
33.00 |
33.00 |
33.00 |
33.00 |
33.00 |
33.00 |
Others |
% |
33.00 |
33.00 |
33.00 |
33.00 |
33.00 |
33.00 |
33.00 |
33.00 |
33.00 |
33.00 |
Municipal Gas |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Processes |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Municipal Gas |
% |
100.00 |
100.00 |
100.00 |
100.00 |
100.00 |
100.00 |
100.00 |
100.00 |
100.00 |
100.00 |
Oil Refining |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Processes |
|
|
|
|
|
|
All Refineries |
% |
98.19 |
98.19 |
98.19 |
98.19 |
98.19 |
98.19 |
98.19 |
98.19 |
98.19 |
98.19 |
Coke |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Processes |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Metalurgical Coke |
% |
80.13 |
80.13 |
80.13 |
80.13 |
80.13 |
80.13 |
80.13 |
80.13 |
80.13 |
80.13 |
LNG Imports |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Processes |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Existing Capacity |
% |
100.00 |
100.00 |
100.00 |
100.00 |
100.00 |
100.00 |
100.00 |
100.00 |
100.00 |
100.00 |
New Capacity |
% |
100.00 |
100.00 |
100.00 |
100.00 |
100.00 |
100.00 |
100.00 |
100.00 |
100.00 |
100.00 |
Coal Mining |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Processes |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Domestic Coal Mining |
% |
75.00 |
75.00 |
75.00 |
75.00 |
75.00 |
75.00 |
75.00 |
75.00 |
75.00 |
75.00 |
Natural Gas Extraction |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Processes |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Existing Domestic Gas Extraction |
% |
100.00 |
100.00 |
100.00 |
100.00 |
100.00 |
100.00 |
100.00 |
100.00 |
100.00 |
100.00 |
Crude Oil Extraction |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Processes |
|
|
|
|
|
|
All Domestic Crude Oil and NGL
Production |
% |
100.00 |
100.00 |
100.00 |
100.00 |
100.00 |
100.00 |
100.00 |
100.00 |
100.00 |
100.00 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|