Energy Paths Analysis/Methods Training Workshop
November 4th to 7th, 2003
Liu Institute for Global Issues, University of British Columbia
Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada
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Agenda 4 November
Days' Topics:
Opening Remarks and Presentation of Meeting Goals and
Schedule
Country Energy Sector Update Special Topics 9:00-9:30 Registration,
Tea/Coffee Welcoming Remarks and
Presentation of Workshop Goals and Schedule
9:30-9:45 Welcoming
Remarks: Professor Paul Evans, Liu Institute for Global Issues, University of
British Columbia 9:45-10:10 Welcoming
Remarks and Goals of Workshop: Dr. Peter Hayes, Executive Director,
Nautilus Institute, Berkeley, California 10:10-10:20 Presentation
of Workshop Schedule and Logistics: David Von Hippel and Scott Bruce, Nautilus
Institute Session I: Country Energy Sector Updates Dr. David von Hippel, Chair 10:20 - 14:30 Presentations in this session will be delivered by a representative from each country attending, and will be designed to update the Workshop on energy sector activities in their country. Each presenter has been requested to provide summaries of the following subjects for their country: 1.
Recent changes in
the energy sector. 2.
The latest
(official or unofficial) energy outlook (brief). 3.
National concerns
regarding energy and environmental security, and presentation of national plans
(in general) to address those concerns. 4. National interest in or participation in regional initiatives for sharing energy resources. 5.
Special topics of
concern to the nation in the area of the energy sector, the environment (as it
relates to energy), and energy security. Suggested presentation length: 20 to 30 minutes, with an additional 10 to
20 minutes for questions. Titles shown
are currently tentative. 10:20-11:00 Prof ZHANG Aling and Prof. WANG Yanjia: "Update on Energy Sector Activities and Plans in China" 11:00-11:40 Ms. Kae TAKASE: "Update
on Energy Sector Activities and Plans in Japan" 11:40-12:20 Dr. Victor KALASHNIKOV and Dr. Alexander OGNEV: "Update on Energy Sector Activities and Plans in the Russian Far East" 12:20-13:30 LUNCH 13:30 - 14:10 Dr. KANG Jungmin, Prof. Shin Eui-soon, and Dr. CHUNG Woo-jin: "Update on Energy Sector Activities and Plans in the Republic of Korea" 14:10 - 14:50 Mr. Shagdar BATRYENCHIN and Ms. Chogdon
OUYNCHIMEG, "Update on
Energy Sector Activities and Plans in Mongolia" 14:50-15:00 BREAK Session 2: Presentations on Special
Topics Related to Regional Energy Use Prof. Yanjia Wang, Chair 15:00
- 15:30 Mr. Kevin (Jian Jun)
TU, “Modeling China’s Energy Future with Application of CIMS” 15:30 - 16:00 Dr.
David VON HIPPEL, "The DPRK Energy Sector: Current Status and Options for
the Future" 16:00 - 16:30 Dr. Michael MARGOLICK (Vice President, Nai
Kun Wind Development Inc.), "Wind Energy Technology: Trends and
Applications in East Asia" 16:30 - 17:00 Dr. Peter HAYES, "Recent Events on the
Korean Peninsula, and Implications for Regional Energy Collaboration"
(Presentation and Discussion) 17:00 - 17:10 Discussion of Agenda for Next Day, and
Logistics Announcements 17:20 End of First Day of
Workshop--Depart directly from Workshop on Bus
Tour of Vancouver ~19:30 GROUP
DINNER AT FAIRMONT WATERFRONT HOTEL 5 NovemberPresentations of Progress on LEAP (Long-range Energy Alternatives
Planning) Data Sets Regional Energy Sharing Alternatives Energy Paths Discussion Begin LEAP Training Begin 9:30 (Tea and Coffee
Available)
Session 3: Presentation of Existing
LEAP Data Sets and Analyses Prof. Shin Eui-soon, Chair Presentations by a
representative from each country that has already developed a LEAP data set can
include the following subjects: 1.
A summary of the status of the LEAP modeling efforts
including: current status of the data collection, collection methodology, key data
sources and key data gaps, problems encountered in gathering data, concerns of
the country team regarding data availability and quality, and other topics. 2.
Business as Usual (BAU) energy paths presentations: BAU path design and assumptions --
What were the central sources used?
What are the overall assumptions about demographics and economics in the
country in the future? Do any of the
assumptions have regional implications? Reasonableness of BAU paths—are
the assumptions made reasonable given recent trends in the country? 3.
“National” alternative paths and scenarios
(descriptions of initial/proposed approaches, and of results as available) 9:30 - 10:00 Dr. KIM Hoseok, "The Application of
the LEAP Software Tool to Energy Sector Analysis in the Republic of Korea" 10:00 - 10:30 Dr. GU Alun, "China Energy Future:
LEAP Tool Application in China" 10:30 - 11:00 Ms. Lea PRINCE, "Questioning
Inevitability of Energy Pathways: Alternative Energy Scenario for
California" 11:00-11:15 Break 11:15 - 11:45 Dr. Victor KALASHNIKOV, Dr. Alexander
OGNEV, and Mr. Ruslan GOULIDOV, "The Application of the LEAP Software Tool
to Energy Sector Analysis in the Russian Far East: Progress Report" 11:45 - 12:15 Dr. David VON HIPPEL, "Application of
LEAP in Japan: The "Power Switch" Energy Path" 12:15-13:00 LUNCH 13:00 - 13:30 Dr. David VON HIPPEL, "Regional Energy Cooperation Options: Costs and Benefits" [Overview presentation that briefly introduces on the relative benefits and costs of regional grid connections, gas pipelines, investments in improved LNG import facilities, end use efficiency increases in gas/electricity end-uses, and other regional initiatives] 13:30 - 13:50 Dr.
Peter HAYES, "Scenarios vs Paths: What's the Difference and Why Do Them
Next Time We Meet?" 13:50 - 14:45 Energy Paths Discussion (Part 1): Preliminary Discussion of Energy Paths Approaches and Options, and Integration of National Paths into Regional Framework for Evaluation of Regional Benefits and Costs of Resource Sharing; Discussion of Collaborative Approach to Continuing Project. Discussion led by Peter HAYES and David VON HIPPEL 14:45-15:10 BREAK AND SET UP FOR TRAINING SESSION Begin Training in LEAP2003 Energy/Environment/Economic Planning and
Policy Analysis Software: Lectures and Hands-on Training through Exercises
(Lead Trainer, David Von Hippel) 15:10 - 15:30 Lecture: Introduction
to the LEAP2003 Software and LEAP Training Exercises 15:30 - 17:30 Work as Individuals or in Groups of 2 or 3 on LEAP Training Exercises 17:30 End
of Second Day of Workshop 17:40 Depart for Hotel 6 November
Continue LEAP Training and Applications Begin 9:30 AM (Tea and Coffee
Available)
Morning and
Afternoon: Continue training with LEAP2003
Software. Some participants will
continue with Exercises, some will begin/continue work on their own data
sets. Individualized assistance will be
provided for all participants. Short
presentations will be offered occasionally on special topics related to
application of LEAP and/or development of Energy Paths. Informal presentations of work in progress
by workshop participants, as well as informal group discussions on any
pertinent topics, are very much encouraged.
One short presentation (scheduled as appropriate) will be as follows: Lea PRINCE "Examination, Estimation &
Extrapolation: Compiling Data on a Regional Level" Lunch Approximately
12:30 - 13:15 Demonstration
(during lunch) of QUEST Modeling Software by Professor John ROBINSON,
Sustainable Development Research Initiative on Institute of Resources,
Environment and Sustainability, and Department of Geography, UBC Breaks Scheduled as
Appropriate 17:30 End
of Third Day 17:40 Depart for Hotel 7 November
Continue LEAP Training and Applications Discussion on Continuing Collaboration Workshop Closing Begin 9:30 AM (Tea and Coffee
Available) Continue LEAP
Training and Applications: Most, if not
all, participants will probably have sufficiently completed the Training
Exercises by this time, and will be working with their country data sets. As in previous days, informal presentations
and discussions will be encouraged, and short presentations may be provided to
clarify specific topics in the application of LEAP2003. Lunch Approximately
12:30 - 13:15 Breaks Scheduled as
Appropriate 15:30 -
17:00 Discussion of Next Steps in
Regional Collaborative Research; Discussion led by Peter HAYES
17:00 Closing
and Presentation of Training Certificates 17:30 End of Workshop 17:40 Depart for Hotel 19:00 GROUP
DINNER AT Water St. Café |
| Background | Summary | Papers | Participants | Agenda | Photos | EAEF | Energy | Nautilus Home |