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November 9, 2000

Nuclear Issues

India Pakistan Kashmir Sri Lanka
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Nuclear Issues

 

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1. Pakistan Nuclear Program

The Hindu reported that Pakistan Chief Executive Pervez Musharraf said that he did not know how many nuclear weapons Pakistan possessed. He also said that he didn't know how many missiles Pakistan needed for an effective deterrent and did not know if Osama Bin Laden was a terrorist. He made these statements in response to questions from a Russian reporter.
"I don't know how many nukes we have: Musharraf"

The government of Pakistan has indicated that it is set to establish a Nuclear Regulatory Authority (NRA), which will enforce safety and trade procedures in nuclear related activities. The NRA is unrelated to international nuclear regimes.
"Nuclear Regulatory Authority on cards"

 

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2. Pakistan Nuclear Energy

An editorial in Pakistan's News International by Zia Mian argued that while the international trend is clearly moving away from the use of nuclear power because of its dangers, Pakistan is proceeding with the building of the Chashma nuclear power plant.
"Perils of going nuclear"

 

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3. Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty

An editorial in The Dawn urged the government of Pakistan to take a clear stance on the Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty, saying that signing the CTBT would put Pakistan on the moral high-ground compared to India and would help forestall an arms race.
"Sign the CTBT, please"

AN Prasad, former director of India's Bhabha Atomic Research Center, said that India should not sign the Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty. Prasad said that India "should retain its option to carry out more nuclear tests if needed and not tie its hands by signing the Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty."
"'India should not sign CTBT'"

An article in the Times of India reported that US presidential candidate George W Bush's policies would be more favorable to India because Bush would be unlikely to push India to sign the Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty.
"Bush's India policy more favorable than Gore's"

 

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4. UN First Committee

India regained international support for its resolution before the UN First Committee. The resolution calls for nuclear weapons states to review their nuclear doctrines and reduce the danger of their unintentional use.
"India gets support on disarmament"

 

 

India

 

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1. India Military

India will receive from Russia the first of its ordered Sukhoi SU-30MKI multi-role fighter jets late in 2001, with complete delivery of all 40 by the end of 2003. The Indian Defense Ministry and Russia's Rosvoorouzhenie State Export Company are expected to conclude an agreement that will allow India to produce up to 150 SU-20MKI jets indigenously.
"First batch of updated Sukhois to arrive next year"
"India to get 10 SU-30MKI fighters next year"

India's air reconnaissance unmanned vehicle was successfully test-launched. It has been successfully tested in the past.
"Unmanned air vehicle Lakshya test-fired"
"Lakhya test-fired"

 

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2. India Security Policy

A task force on defense headed by Minister of State for Defense Arun Singh proposed that India's strategic forces, and all tri-service institutions that currently exist, should be subordinated to a Chief of Defense Staff (CDS). The Hindu also reported that most UN Security Council countries have created a CDS post.
"'Chief of Defence Staff must head strategic force'"

Jawaharlal Nehru University and the Indian Council for Social Science Research jointly launched the Center for the Study of National Security to provide long-term thinking on security issues that incorporates a comprehensive view of security and the role of culture and technology.
"Project to address India's security issues"

 

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3. India-PRC-Russia Axis

Russian Prime Minister Mikhail Kasyanov told reporters during his visit to the PRC that Russia would support the development of a Russia-PRC-India axis.
"Russian PM revives proposed axis with India, China"

 

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4. India-US Relations

At a meeting of the US-India Joint Working Group on UN Peacekeeping Operations, the US and India agreed to increase cooperation on peacekeeping activities.
"Indo-U.S. agree to step up cooperation on peacekeeping"

 

 

Pakistan

 

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1. Pakistan Military

Pakistan is ready to begin serial production of the Al-Khalid battle tank. The tank began to be designed in the 1980s and will replace older tanks in use.
"Pakistan to start serial production of Al-Khalid tank"
"Pakistan to start serial production of Al-Khalid"

Air Vice Marshal Mushaf Ali Mir was named Air Chief of Staff following the retirement of Air Chief Marshal Pervaiz Mehdi Qureshi.
"New Pak. Air Chief designated"

 

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2. Terrorism in Pakistan

The Times of India reported that Pakistani media are reporting that the Pakistani government has arrested a group carrying out terrorist activities and linked to India's Research and Analysis Wing (RAW).
"Panic in Pakistan over `RAW nexus': Report"

 

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3. US Role in South Asia

An editorial by MS Jillani in Pakistan's News International argues that while the US seems to be edging towards military intervention of some kind in the region, Pakistan has no need to worry about this threat.
"Breaking the will"

 

 

Kashmir

 

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1. Overview

A curfew intended to prevent communal violence was extended into its second day in areas of Kashmir after a Shiite leader and five others were killed by a landmine.
"Curfew continues for second day in Valley"

Pran Chopra, writing in The Hindu, argues that there is a fundamental change underway in Kashmir towards a peaceful settlement of the issue, catalyzed partly by Pakistan's failure in the Kargil incident and partly by the relief felt during the Hizbul Mujahideen ceasefire.
"Changes in Kashmir"

 

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2. US Pushes India-Pakistan Talks

US Undersecretary of State for International Security and Arms Control John Holum stated that the US would like to see India and Pakistan engage in bilateral discussions on security issues. Short-term stabilizing steps, Holum said, could include Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty ratification, an end to fissile material production, support for the Fissile Material Cut-Off Treaty, and restraining nuclear weapons and missile development.
"US wants Pakistan, India to begin talks"
"US wants Pakistan and India to start security talks"

 

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3. Military Actions

The Hindu reported that the Pakistani Foreign Office stated that India has been escalating violence along the Line of Control. A Foreign Office spokesman said that India had fired 64,000 mortar shells onto civilians in Pakistan-administered Kashmir, killing 175 civilians this year. Both India and Pakistan accuse the other of attacking civilians across the border.
"India escalating tension along LoC: Pak."
"Kashmir border heating up, says Pakistan"

The Indian Army estimates that Pakistan has carried out 13 raids along the Line of Control and lost 43 soldiers this way in the last seven months. The Army would like to upgrade its surveillance technology. The Indian Army is reportedly using new electronic surveillance measures to monitor the Line of Control in several places in Jammu and Kashmir.
"Sneak raids mark post-Kargil period"
"India sets up electronic surveillance along LoC"

 

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4. Militant Groups

The Pakistani Army is believed by the local media to have passed on to militant groups the Estrela Surface to Air Missile (SAM). Militants may use the missiles against Indian helicopters, but may also fear that their use could lead to an escalation of violence.
"Pak missiles in J&K militants' arsenal: Officials"
"New 'toy' for mercenaries in J&K?"

The Times of India reported that new activities by the Babbar Khalsa International (BKI) indicate that Pakistan is seeking to revive the Sikh militant group. An Indian Army analysis of Pakistan's proxy war indicates that the Pakistani ISI received over US$2.5 billion in earnings from drug trafficking, and that 5-10 percent of this is spent to support insurgency in Jammu and Kashmir.
"Pakistan trying to revive Babbar Khalsa"
"Hizb is aflush with ISI funds"

The All-Hurriyat Party Conference (AHPC) and the Hizbul Mujahideen demanded a probe into every massacre of civilians in Jammu and Kashmir purportedly caused by militants.
"Hurriyat, Hizbul demand probes into J&K massacres"

 

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5. Recent Violence

The links below provide coverage of incidents of violence that occurred in the past week in Jammu and Kashmir.
"Congress leader among 6 dead in H. Kashmir landmine blast"
" Politician among 14 killed in Occupied Kashmir"
"2 Armymen killed in rocket attack"
"No clues to identity of Assam killers"
"26 kg RDX, arms seized near LoC"
"25 militants, 8 securitymen among 44 killed in J&K"
"Six killed as Lashker men attack Army post"
"Eight killed in Kashmir"
"4 troops among 13 die in Occupied Kashmir"
"Two injured in LoC firing"
"Eight killed in Kashmir gunbattle"
"15 Kashmiris die in fresh military violence"
"30 killed in held Kashmir"
"Six killed in Mujahideen attack on military camp"

 

 

Sri Lanka

 

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1. Norwegian Peace Envoy

The Norwegian envoy for peace talks, Eric Solheim, stated that he met with Liberation Tigers of Tamil Eelam leader Vellupillai Prabhakaran and told him that the international community would like to see a peaceful resolution to the conflict. Sri Lankan officials said that while the Norwegian successes are important, it was also important to have India participate in solving the conflict.
"Prabhakaran serious about peace: Norwegian envoy"
"Solheim briefs Chandrika on talks with LTTE"
"India should intervene: Sri Lankan Minister"

Sri Lankan President Chandrika Kumaratunga discussed recent developments over the phone with Indian Prime Minister AB Vajpayee.
"Vajpayee, Kumaratunga discuss Norway-Tamil peace talks"

Sri Lankan Prime Minister Ratnasiri Wickremanayake and Foreign Minister Lakshman Kadirgamar were pessimistic about Solheim's meeting with the LTTE.
"Conflicting signs over Lanka peace talks"

 

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We invite you to reply to today's report, and we welcome commentary or papers for distribution to the network.

Produced by the Nautilus Institute for Security and Sustainable Development in partnership with the Monash Asia Institute.

Robert Brown, SANDNet Coordinator: SANDNet@nautilus.org
Berkeley, California, United States

Wade L. Huntley, Security Program Director: SANDNet@nautilus.org
Berkeley, California, United States

 

 
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