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2004 Nautilus Highights Achive
| April | March | Feb. | Jan.
2003
2002
2001
April Nautilus Highights - posted May 4, 2004
Dear staff member:
Here are some recent highlights of Nautilus Institute activities. We thank you for your interest and support as we work together for a more peaceful and equitable world in 2004. Your comments, questions, and ideas are always welcome.
Regards,
Peter Hayes
Highlights:
- Nautilus Opens 2004 Scenarios Workshop on Nuclear Next Use
- Nautilus Institute Launches Asian Energy Security 2004 Workshop Website
- Washington Times, Chosun Ilbo, and Media Cite Global Disclosure Piece
- Hayes Shares Expertise on Korean Peninsula on Chicago's WBEZ Worldview
- DPRK Briefing Book Publishes Policy Area Focusing on Humanitarian Conditionss
- Hayes Chairs DPRK Nuclear Crisis Panel
- Renowned Rigger Trains Pegasus Crew
- Views of Nautilus
1. Nautilus Opens 2004 Scenarios Workshop on Nuclear Next Use
On April 27th and 28th, Nautilus Institute convened its annual scenarios workshop. This year's focal issue centered on the question "Who Will Stop Nuclear Next Use?" International participants representing government, civil society, media, artists, military, and universities explore the underlying uncertainties and opportunities for reducing the risk of nuclear war. A full report will be available on our website at the end of May.
2. Nautilus Institute Launches Asian Energy Security 2004 Workshop Website
Nautilus unveiled the new website for its 2004 Asian Energy Security (AES) Workshop which is to be held in Beijing from May 12th to 14th, 2004. This event is co-hosted by the Energy and Environmental Technology Center (EETC) of Tsinghua University. The main focus of the workshop is collaborative research, involving the DPRK, the ROK, the Russian Far East, China, Japan, and Mongolia on different paths to addressing energy security issues in the region.
3. Washington Times, Chosun Ilbo, and Media Cite Global Disclosure Piece
The Nautilus Institute's Global Disclosure piece "Vulnerability of North Korean Forces, Vol. I: Evaluation of Vulnerability of North Korean Divisions to Tactical Nuclear Weapons," released under the US Freedom of Information Act (FOIA) was cited in the Washington Times, Chosun Ilbo, and Stars and Stripes. Chosun Ilbo noted "... the study suggested that at least 30 airburst nuclear weapons would be used in an area only nine miles from Seoul and some 15 miles south of the DMZ. The Nautilus Institute indicated that around the time the DNA was looking into the use of tactical nuclear weapons, the Carter administration was struggling with its withdrawal policy for U.S. forces in Korea."
4. Hayes Shares Expertise on Korean Peninsula on Chicago's WBEZ Worldview
WBEZ Chicago's Worldview Program interviewed Peter Hayes on April 19, 2004 on the political and security situation in and around the Korean Peninsula. Peter explained that the South Korean vote to put President Roh in power has parallels to the 1958 surge in anti-US alliance attitudes in Japan that led to the eviction of US nuclear weapons in 1960.
5. DPRK Briefing Book Publishes Policy Area Focusing on Humanitarian Conditions
The DPRK Briefing Book posted new papers in its Agriculture and Humanitarian policy areas. The 2003 report "Crop and Food Supply Assessment Mission to the DPRK" by the UN Food and Agriculture Organization & UN World Food Programme and the situation report entitled "Misery and Terror: Systematic Violations of Economic, Social, and Cultural Rights in North Korea" by the UN Committee on Economic, Social, and Cultural Rights of the DPRK are now available along with a number of other documents and essays.
6. Hayes Chairs DPRK Nuclear Crisis Panel
At the University of San Francisco's Center for the Pacific Rim workshop "North Korea's Nuclear Crisis" on April 2, 2004, Peter Hayes chaired the opening session on "The State of the Crisis and Engagement Strategies."
7. Renowned Rigger Trains Pegasus Crew
Master rigger Brion Toss gave an enlightening rigging workshop on the vessel Pegasus for crew followed by a short voyage. He encouraged crew to "be the boat" and figure out the big picture before tuning any specific rigging item.
8. View of Nautilus
"Just as a matter of routine courtesy, let me express my appreciation of today's Asia Energy Security Network (AESNet) report. It is of great value for my work as a security policy researcher on Asia. Today's report was of especial relevance regarding China and North Korea."
Ingolf Kiesow
Former Sweden Ambassador to the DPRK from 1979 to 1982.
March Nautilus Highights - posted April 6, 2004
Dear staff member:
Here are some recent highlights of Nautilus Institute activities. We thank you for your interest and support as we work together for a more peaceful and equitable world in 2004. Your comments, questions, and ideas are always welcome.
Regards,
Peter Hayes
Highlights:
- Five Bridges Foundation Awards $7500 to Pegasus Project
- Nautilus Expertise Cited in New York Times
- DPRK Briefing Book Covers DPRK Multilateral Talks
- Nautilus Releases Study of US Nuclear Weapons Delivery Organizations in South Korea
- Hayes Outlines Peacemaking Partnership Principles
- Pegasus Sails with East Bay Schools
- Views of Nautilus
1. Five Bridges Foundation Awards $7500 to Pegasus Project
A general program support grant from Five Bridges Foundation for $7500 will provide the opportunity for Bay Area youth to sail with Pegasus during Spring 2004. The Pegasus Project is Nautilus Institute's youth and environment program.
2. Nautilus Expertise Cited in New York Times
In James Brooke's March 23rd New York Times article "Let a Hundred Russian Kilowatts Bloom" Nautilus is mentioned. "'Russia will not lift a finger to send a kilowatt south unless someone finances it,' said Peter Hayes, director of the Nautilus Institute for Security and Sustainability, a California-based research group specializing in Northeast Asia energy. 'There is a substantial surplus of hydropower, but there is no financing at all at the moment. It is all conceptual.'"
http://www.nytimes.com/2004/03/23/business/worldbusiness/23hydro.html
3. DPRK Briefing Book Covers DPRK Multilateral Talks
As the six-way talks on North Korea's nuclear program in Beijing concluded, Nautilus' DPRK Briefing Book posted three new analytical essays and reports which included: "Korea: Long-term Decline in the North Korea Premium," Frank Januzzi and Keith Luse's status report on their recent visit to North Korea before the Senate Foreign Relations Committee, and the official country statements from North Korea, the United States, China, and Russia regarding the conclusion of the six-way talks.
Read DPRK Multilateral Talks .
4. Nautilus Releases Study of US Nuclear Weapons Delivery Organizations in South Korea
As part of the Global Disclosure project, "Weapons Support Detachment - Korea Nuclear Operations Standard Operation Procedures" was obtained and released using the United States Freedom of Information Act (FOIA.) This 1987 document details the logistical and organizational preparation required to fire nuclear weapons at North Korea.
5. Hayes Outlines Peacemaking Partnership Principles
At the 2004 Global Philanthropy Forum Conference on Borderless Giving on March 4, 2004, Peter Hayes outlined lessons learned and obstacles to be overcome in the implementation of partnerships for peacemaking in conflict zones such as North Korea. These include the use of multiple communication channels, the use of stringent performance standards, the necessity of long-term commitments and organizational stamina, and the problems of donor fatigue.
6. Pegasus Sails with East Bay Schools
With sunny skies and steady light winds, Pegasus ventured into the San Francisco Bay with youth from two East Bay Schools to emphasize classroom study of the Bay and its natural and manmade environments. Pegasus sailed with 24 students from East Bay Waldorf School.
The sail was conducted in partnership with the Shorebird Nature Center and the Cal Sailing Club.
7. View of Nautilus
"Thank you for all the valuable materials [Nautilus] is sending. I read them continuously and make use of them."
Sverre Lodgaard
Director Norweigan Institute of International Affairs
Feburary Nautilus Highights - posted March 8, 2004
Dear staff member:
Here are some recent highlights of Nautilus Institute activities. We thank you for your interest and support as we work together for a more peaceful and equitable world in 2004. Your comments, questions, and ideas are always welcome.
Regards,
Peter Hayes
Highlights:
- Korea Foundation Awards Nautilus $30K to support Asian Energy Security Workshop
- Hayes Calls For Bush to Act on North Korea at World Affairs Council
- New Global Disclosure Release Analyzes Intelligence Failures
- Hayes Sheds light on Impact of Pakistan in NPR Interview on North Korea
- New York Times Cites Hayes' "Multilateral Mantra"
- Hayes Offers Five Solutions to North Korean Energy Needs
- Maintenance Complete, Pegasus Crew Prepare for Spring Youth Sails
- Views of Nautilus
1. Korea Foundation Awards Nautilus $30K to support Asian Energy Security Workshop
The Korea Foundation awarded the Nautilus Institute $30,000 to support the Asian Energy Security Scenarios Workshop planned for May 2004. The workshop is part of the Asian Energy Security research network whose collaboration includes energy experts from every country in the region.
2. Hayes Calls For Bush to Act on North Korea at World Affairs Council
Peter addressed the World Affairs Council on February 19th on the topic of "Strategies for Solving the North Korean Nuclear Problem." Peter emphasized that "President Bush needs to focus on North Korea and take the first steps necessary to engage them in any negotiating format-- bilateral or multilateral."
http://www.itsyourworld.org/general/contra_costa.php
3. New Global Disclosure Release Analyzes Intelligence Failures
The Global Disclosure Project released FOIA document "Political and Military Intervention Estimation: A Taxonometric Analysis" by Frank J. Stech which illustrates that the problems of intelligence analysis run deeper than just poor analysis or purposeful misuse by decision-makers -- rather intelligence deficiencies are often methodological in nature.
4. Hayes Sheds light on Impact of Pakistan in NPR Interview on North Korea
On February 19th, NPR's Morning Edition interviewed Peter about the impending six-way talks on North Korea's nuclear weapons program. He responded that Pakistan's lead scientist, Abdul Qadeer Khan's recent admission of transferring nuclear weapons technology design to North Korea "creates difficulties for the North Koreans to get up and say, without being ridiculed, that they have not been pursuing enrichment."
5. New York Times Cites Hayes' "Multilateral Mantra"
Peter's essay "The Multilateral Mantra and North Korea" was published as part of the Multilateral Talks policy area of the DPRK Briefing Book. Hayes argues that presently the talks are being driven by the White House's domestic concerns. On February 24th, the essay was cited in the New York Times in an article by Joseph Kahn entitled "North Korean Candor to Be Central to New Nuclear Talks."
6. Hayes Offers Five Solutions to North Korean Energy Needs
At the "Towards a Peaceful Resolution with North Korea" workshop held in Washington DC, Peter outlined five ways to increase North Korea's energy needs: rehabilitate the grid and coal supply system, reduce energy waste by end users, increase rural and agricultural energy supply, and provide technical assistance to develop energy sector planning and institutional reform needed to support energy markets.
http://www.nautilus.org/energy/
7. Maintenance Complete, Pegasus Crew Prepare for Spring Youth Sails
After a hiatus for maintenance and repairs, the Pegasus is ready to set sail again. Pegasus volunteer crew recently tuned the vessel to ensure a season of safe voyages for Bay Area youth.
8. View of Nautilus
"Your [DPRK Policy Forum] essays are doing an excellent job. The short-essay format provides the kind of need-to-know information we are looking for."
Jeremy Zakis
Emergency Response and Research Institute
January Nautilus Highights - posted February 4, 2004
Dear staff member:
Here are some recent highlights of Nautilus Institute activities. We thank you for your interest and support as we work together for a more peaceful and equitable world in 2004. Your comments, questions, and ideas are always welcome.
Regards,
Peter Hayes
Highlights:
- Nautilus Highlights DPRK Delegation Reports
- Hayes Discusses US-DPRK "Beef" on PBS
- Global Disclosure Reveals Potential For Cooperative Energy Development in Siberia"
- Pegasus Undergoes Yearly Maintenance and Repair
- Views of Nautilus
1. Nautilus Highlights DPRK Delegation Reports
The Nautilus Institute's DPRK Briefing Book, published the full transcript of former Ambassador Charles Pritchard's briefing on his recent visit to North Korea and the Yongbyon nuclear facility. Complementing that is, Senior Fellow at Los Alamos National Laboratory Siegfried Hecker's recent report "Visit to the Yongbyon Nuclear Scientific Research Center in North Korea" in which he details his technical observations of his visit to the Yongbyon Nuclear Scientific Research Center and confirms the removal of the 8,000 spent fuel rods from the site.
2. Hayes Discusses US-DPRK "Beef" on PBS
Peter Hayes, along with former CIA director James Woolsey, was interviewed by Peter Robinson for the PBS show Uncommon Knowledge on the topic of North Korea, nuclear weapons, and US Diplomacy. According to Hayes, "I think what is crucial... is unleashing the precision guided markets and the precision guided non-governmental organizations that will transform North Korea inside out, rather than putting pressure on it, which simply solidifies it into the black hole where it already is."
3. Global Disclosure Reveals Potential For Cooperative Energy Development in Siberia"
Nautilus' Global Disclosure Project released a case study on "Siberian Energy for Japan and the United States (1972-1973)". The study was procured by the Nautilus Institute under the US Freedom of Information Act. Written by Raymond J. Albright during the energy crisis of the 1970s, this document analyzed the possibilities of conflict and cooperation between the United States and Japan to obtain access to energy sources in then Soviet Siberia. Many of Albright's points remain salient today and explain the slow pace of Siberian energy export.
4. Pegasus Undergoes Yearly Maintenance and Repair
The dry-dock of the Berkeley Marine Center has been home to Nautilus Institute's Pegasus, as she undergoes yearly maintenance and repair. Pegasus is the 51 Alden Ketch sailboat that Nautilus uses as a tool to teach Lifeskills and sustainable practices to Bay Area youth. To provide the safest on-the-water experience possible for youth, shipwrights, welders, and mechanics have been working aboard Pegasus to repair worn areas, tune the engine, and refinish the bottom. Pegasus will be back in the water in time for the February 28 Shorebird Nature Center teacher training sail.
5. View of Nautilus
"[Nautilus] does a great job all year and your updates are much appreciated!"
Leif-Eric Easley, Ph.D. student,
East Asian International Relations Harvard University Department of Government
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