12. Analyses of US Missile Defense
The Union of Concerned Scientists in a press release called on US President Bill Clinton to postpone a July decision on whether to approve deployment of a national missile defense system in light of the second National Missile Defense intercept test's failure to hit its target. John Isaacs, president of Council for a Livable World, said that while there is no reason to read total "failure" into the latest test, it reinforces the necessity to avoid "a rush to failure." Retired US Colonel Dan Smith, Chief of Research at the Center for Defense Information, evaluates the latest NMD test, and warns that even a failure of six seconds could be devastating.
"President Should Delay Missile Defense Deployment Decision, Require Realistic Testing"
"National Missile Defense Test Failure: Not Yet Ready for Prime Time"
"Six Seconds That Didn't Shake the World"
Stratfor argues that the new strategic threat will not come from rogue regimes but instead from coalitions built around true nuclear powers such as Russia and China. It adds that the debate over national missile defense is distracting the US military from forging a space strategy that protects satellites, the keys to US conventional military power. Nicholas Berry, Senior Analyst at the Center for Defense Information, argues that reports on proliferation of weapons of mass destruction focus too much on the weapons themselves and not enough on the motives and intentions of countries seeking the technology. He says that these countries arm themselves primarily for some very real and very important domestic political reasons.
"National Missile Defenses: Fighting the Last War"
"Too Much Hysteria Over Proliferation of Weapons of Mass Destruction"