Nautilus Institute Update Archive
   
updated friday, october 5, 2001
Navigation   


| Oct.-Dec. 2001 | July-Sept. 2001 | April-June 2001 | Jan.-March 2001 |
| July-Dec. 2000 | Jan.-June 2000 |
| 1999 |

September 28, 2001

    Ploughshares grant awarded for nuclear weapons research
    Posted September 28, 2001

    The Ploughshares Fund has awarded the Nautilus Institute a grant of $40,000 for research and publication about the status of U.S. nuclear strategy in the Asia-Pacific region. The grant supports the Nuclear Strategy Project of the Nautilus Institute Peace and Security Program.

    The work will explore new trends in U.S. nuclear policy and increase transparency of modern nuclear planning. The Bush administration is expected to complete a Strategic Posture Review later this fall, and has promised to change the role and composition of U.S. nuclear forces.

    PCI supports Nautilus work on DPRK energy
    Posted September 28, 2001

    The Pacific Century Institute (PCI) awarded Nautilus a $6,000 grant to support engagement of the DPRK on financing of energy infrastructure. Nautilus has been working with partners in the DPRK to identify options for rehabilitating the country's dilapidated power grid, as part of its ongoing cooperative engagement project on energy in the DPRK.

    Nautilus launches web site on 'Sustainable and Ethical International Investment'
    Posted September 28, 2001

    The Globalization and Governance Program launched a new web site and listserve on emerging international investment negotiations and agreements. Topics include financial transparency, the environment, human rights, global security, and economic inclusion. Bimonthly features provide analysis and opinion on breaking issues. The first feature, by Senior Program Officer Sandy Buffett, covers the new California Senate Select Committee on International Trade Policy and State Legislation.

    The web site is part of the International Investment Rules Project, funded by the Wallace Global Fund and the Rockefeller Foundation.

    Nautilus announces IT Fellow
    Posted September 28, 2001

    Nautilus Institute announces the appointment of Jason Hunter as the Nautilus Information Technology Fellow. This position is funded by the Rockefeller Foundation. Jason's first task will be to organize the Virtual Diaspora Workshop in spring 2002. The workshop will examine how the Internet affects the roles played by diasporas in global problem solving.

    Jason previously worked at Nautilus from May 1996 to June 2000 in the Globalization and Governance Program. He spent the past year as a visiting Scholar at the London School of Economics, where his research examined the impact of the information revolution on international conflict and cooperation.

September 21, 2001

    Nautilus hosts Special Forum Online to respond to September 11 Attacks
    Posted September 21, 2001

    The Nautilus Institute is hosting a Special Forum on the September 11 Attacks to discuss the reasons for and the potential impacts of the recent attacks on New York and Washington. International experts in various fields are contributing their analysis. We invite your participation. Contributions thus far are included below.

    Understanding the Message of Tuesday's Events
    Mary KALDOR
    Asking 'Why'
    Michael KLARE
    Engaging Political Islam
    Phar Kim BENG
    Black Tuesday: The View from Islamabad
    Pervez HOODBHOY
    The 'War' on Terrorism
    Ramesh THAKUR
    People are the only solution to terror
    Mark RITCHIE
    The Coming "New" War
    Wade HUNTLEY
    Now Comes the Real Danger
    Thomas HOMER-DIXON
    "War on Terrorism": Implications for Asia
    Ralph COSSA
    Impact of the US Attacks on North Korea
    Brent CHOI

    Nautilus Co-Authors Overview of Chinese Nuclear Forces
    Posted September 21, 2001

    China has approximately 400 nuclear warheads, according to an overview of Chinese nuclear forces co-authored by Nautilus Senior Program Officer
    Hans M. Kristensen in the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists. Development of new ballistic missiles for land- and sea-based strategic forces continues, and work has begun on a new class of strategic ballistic missile submarines.

    The number of Chinese nuclear warheads has remained relatively stable during the last 10 years, and far below U.S. intelligence estimates of the 1970s and 1980s. Unlike Britain and France, China has not unilaterally reduced its nuclear forces, and may in the future increase them in response to a U.S. missile defense system.

    Pegasus 2nd In Master Mariner Voyage
    Posted September 21, 2001


    Crew were (from left to right): Patty Donald, Paul Marbury, Urszula Dawkins (visitor from Australia), Peter Hayes, Inka Petersen.

    On September 1 and 2, a crack crew of Pegasus volunteers joined the Marconi Division of the Master Mariners in a sailing race around San Pablo Bay. The Pegasus crew received the 2nd place award.


    Nautilus Institute was infected with the NIMDA. A worm from September 18th to September 20th. We have cleaned our website and are sorry for any inconvenience this has caused.

September 14, 2001

    Nautilus Institute was infected with the NIMDA.A worm in the early morning of Tuesday, September 18th. This was a random virus attack, not the result of a specific attack on Nautilus.

    We have been inaccessible for a little more than 72 hours. Our sincere apologies for any inconvience this may have caused anyone. The majority of our web site is back on-line including the Special Forum. Please bear with us as we finish our repairs. Thank you.

    Our thoughts are with all of those who have been touched by the September 11th tragedy. We extend our deepest sympathy to the victims, their families and friends.

    The Nautilus Institute is hosting a Special Forum on the September 11 Attacks as an International Crime Against Humanity. In this international forum, we invite our friends and colleagues to discuss the implications of the attacks in order to deepen our understanding of why these attacks happened and what they mean. We welcome your contribution to this forum.

    Nautilus Co-Authors SIPRI Yearbook
    Posted September 14, 2001

    Combined, the U.S., Russia, France, China, Israel, Pakistan, and the U.K. maintain over 19,000 nuclear warheads in their arsenals, according to the Stockholm International Peace and Research Institute's (SIPRI) latest yearbook. Nautilus Senior Security Program Officer Hans M. Kristensen co-authors the yearbook's overview of world nuclear forces, which is part of SIPRI's annual review of non-proliferation, arms control, and disarmament developments. It is considered to be one of the most accurate non-classified overviews of nuclear forces.

    The SIPRI overview also points out that all nuclear weapon states have important nuclear weapon modernization and maintenance programs underway. Furthermore, despite pledges under the nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty to pursue nuclear disarmament in good faith, all the nuclear powers appear committed to retain nuclear weapons for the foreseeable future.

    World Nuclear Forces 2001
    [13K, requires Acrobat Reader]

    China's Energy Future examined at Clean Energy Technology Forum in Beijing
    Posted September 14, 2001

    Possible scenarios that might impact China's energy future were outlined by Peter Hayes in a presentation made at the US-China Clean Energy Technology Forum. He suggested that the potential energy-related pollution of the 2008 Beijing Olympics, on one hand, and a hypothetical financial collapse of a major energy agency such as the Three Gorges Dam Corporation, on the other hand, are two scenarios that might accelerate or retard a smooth transition to clean energy technology. His presentation also addressed Chinese energy paths.

    The Forum took place on August 29, 2001 and was sponsored by the US Department of Energy and the PRC Ministry of Science and Technology.

    View this presentation...
    [4688K, requires Microsoft Power Point]

    North Korea's power situation critical, Von Hippel warns
    Posted September 14, 2001

    North Korea's use of all forms of commercial energy may have fallen to below 20 percent of what it was in 1990, said Nautilus Institute Senior Associate David Von Hippel in an interview published in Japan's Asahi Shimbun on August 28. Von Hippel discussed the energy situation in the DPRK based on the Nautilus Institute's work on the DPRK energy sector. He recommended an integrated approach to solving the DPRK's infrastructure problems--including its energy problems--starting with finding funds to help with rehabilitating agriculture and the health, energy, economic sectors in selected areas.

September 7, 2001

    PRIME signs on as NAPSNet partner for Japan
    Posted September 7, 2001

    Nautilus is pleased to announce that it has reached an agreement for a new partnership with the International Peace Research Institute of Meiji Gakuin University (PRIME) in Tokyo, Japan. PRIME is a leading Japanese non-governmental institution recognized for its work in global peace. As part of this partnership, PRIME will take over responsibility for producing the Japan section of the Northeast Asia Peace & Security Network Daily Report. It joins existing NAPSNet partners in Shanghai, Seoul, Moscow, and Canberra.

    Nautilus explores ethical governance role for California in international trade and investment regimes
    Posted September 7, 2001

    California Senate Select Committee on International Trade Policy and State Legislation in Sacramento convened an educational briefing this week which was attended by Sandy Buffett, Senior Program Officer for the Globalization & Governance Program. The Committee seeks to inform California's citizens on the potential impacts to state-level labor and environmental laws as a result of international trade and investment agreements, such as NAFTA and its Chapter 11 dispute settlement mechanism. The rights provided in investment agreements, such as Chapter 11, allow corporations to arbitrate for expected business profits which are "expropriated" by state-promulgated environmental or labor laws. The Nautilus Institute's International Investment Rules Project is working to define a set of Sustainable Development investment rules that would define investor responsiblities and help make the dispute settlement process more transparent.

August 31, 2001

    Trouble ahead for US-ROK military alliance, Savage argues
    Posted August 31, 2001

    The Korean reconciliation process will strain the U.S.-South Korean military alliance in the future, Nautilus Senior Program Officer Timothy Savage argued at the International Conference on Korean Reconciliation and Reunification for Global Peace, held in Seoul Aug. 13-14, 2001.

    As the threat from North Korea diminishes, Savage remarked, there will be less incentive for South Korea to remain within the U.S. military alliance, especially if doing so causes problems in Seoul's currently good relationship with China. He said a move toward a neutral, unallied Korea may be the best way to ensure regional stability and prevent conflicts like those that have plagued Korea for the past century.
     

    StratCom under "attack" by Nautilus?
    Posted August 31, 2001

    The Nautilus Institute's documentation of modern U.S. nuclear war planning has "raised the attack" on the U.S. Strategic Command (StratCom) to "a new level," according to an Aug. 7, 2001 editorial in the Omaha World-Herald.

    The Nebraska paper's editorial follows publication of six formerly highly classified StratCom studies on the Nautilus Institute Web site in May, 2001. The studies, which were declassified under the U.S. Freedom of Information Act, served as the basis for a report, The Matrix of Deterrence, which criticized StratCom's dominating influence on U.S. nuclear policy.

    The editorial says that arms control advocates such as the Nautilus Institute and the Natural Resources Defense Council have begun to "escalate their tactics as they push for a radical revamping of U.S. nuclear doctrine."

    The U.S. Department of Defense is expected to complete a nuclear posture review this fall.
     

    Boosters graduate after final summer overnighter aboard Pegasus
    Posted August 31, 2001

    Sea lion on buoy
    Youth points out sea lion sunning on buoy

    Five kids from the Berkeley Boosters enjoyed the final summer overnight voyage aboard the Nautilus Institute's sailing vessel Pegasus and participated in a graduation ceremony Aug. 23-24, 2001.

    The young sailors started out toward San Pablo Bay, circumnavigating Red Rock and the East Brother Island lighthouse. Afterwards, the boat headed for Ayala Cove at Angel Island, passing close by a sea lion sunning himself on a buoy. The crew also saw a vulture and a jellyfish.

    Safely moored at Ayala, the kids tried a little kayaking that evening and the next morning before heading for home. Pegasus crew for this voyage included Jim Gaebe, Paul Kassatkin, and David Weinberg.

    Over the summer, 11 students from the Berkeley Boosters participated in five overnight voyages aboard the Pegasus. A graduation and awards ceremony and barbecue was held Aug. 24, 2001 at the Nautilus Institute, with food supplied by the Boosters.

    Nautilus Executive Director Peter Hayes said, "There are a lot of skills you have to learn in order to survive out on the water. You have to learn discipline, teamwork, and many other physical and mental skills."

    Boosters Executive Director Ove Wittstock said, "It's a wonderful opportunity that the Nautilus Institute makes possible for us. It was an ideal marriage: They have the boat, and we have the kids."

    See article in Berkeley Daily Planet...
    Go to Pegasus Project...

August 24, 2001

    NGO cooperative engagement provides alternatives to militarism, Savage argues

    Cooperative engagement by non-governmental organizations (NGOs) can provide an alternative to militarized containment when dealing with so-called "rogue" states, Nautilus Senior Program Officer Timothy Savage argued at the workshop "The Military and the Planet: Redefining Security from Global Militarism to Earth Justice" on Aug. 4, 2001 in San Francisco.

    Savage presented the Nautilus Institute's US-DPRK Village Wind Power Pilot Project as an example of how focusing on specific development needs can break down barriers and promote dialog in areas of intergovernmental conflict.

    The conference was sponsored by the Institute for Deep Ecology.
     

    Zarsky outlines U.S.-China futures at Global Business Network roundtable

    Report cover Globalization and Governance Program Director Lyuba Zarsky discussed alternative futures for U.S.-China relations at a roundtable in Sydney, Australia Aug. 2, 2001.

    Zarsky was the featured speaker at the forum, organized by Global Business Network-Australia. The "learning barbie" (barbeque) drew a dozen Australian business and government leaders.

    Zarsky sketched the scenarios generated in the Nautilus Institute's project on the future of US-China relations and led a discussion about the implications for economic growth and regional security in Asia.

    Read the scenarios report ...
    [201K, requires Acrobat Reader]

     

    Participants ride aboard fire boat on Boosters overnight voyage

    Participants boarded a fire department vessel during a Berkeley Boosters overnight voyage with the Nautilus Institute's Pegasus Project Aug. 16-17, 2001.

    The group powered over to the Oakland Fire Station at Jack London Square, where members were taken aboard the Sea-Wolf, the Oakland Fire Department's fire boat. The Sea-Wolf set out for the Oakland Outer Harbor under the command of Bradley Harger, Senior Marine Pilot. The Boosters had a ball shooting off the aft water turrets before returning to the Pegasus.

    After an overnight stay at Ayala Cove, the group listened to a life-raft lecture by crew member Inka Petersen, then sampled life-raft emergency rations, as well as dried seaweed and dried squid. The group then took a short hike to the immigration center on Angel Island before heading for home.

    Participants from the Boosters included Deserae, Katryna, Grecya, Breck, and Leonard, with Booster staff member Fele (a great cook!). In addition to Petersen, Pegasus crew included Christine Albertsen and Paul Kassatkin.

    Boosters aboard fire boat
    Young sailor shoots water canon aboard Oakland fire boat
     

August 17, 2001

    DOE renews Asian energy security grant

    The US Department of Energy has approved the third year of its three-year, $750,000 grant to support the Institute's work on regional energy security in East Asia.

    The grant supports collaborative energy security modeling and research by experts from each country in the region. Two workshops will follow on from the Beijing and Berkeley workshops held over the last year.

    Masami Nakata coordinates the project.
     

    Missile defense plans could profoundly affect East Asian, global security, panel says

    US Theater Missile Defense (TMD) plans for East Asia could have profound and unintended consequences for regional and global security, according to a panel of experts in two public discussion seminars sponsored by the Nautilus Institute.

    Speakers from China, Russia and the United States presented differing views on potential consequences of TMD development and answered a spectrum of questions from local political and business leaders at seminars co-convened with the World Affairs Council in San Francisco Aug. 13 and with Town Hall Los Angeles in Los Angeles Aug. 14, 2001.

    Both events were recorded for subsequent radio broadcast. Transcripts of the sessions will be distributed on the Nautilus Peace and Security email networks when available.


    Nautilus Institute's Wade Huntley (L) and other panelists at Aug. 13 event in San Francisco.
     

    New Voices Fellow joins Nautilus

    Christine Ahn has joined the Nautilus Institute as a New Voices Fellow, under a national program administered by the Academy for Educational Development (AED) and funded by the Ford Foundation. Under Lyuba Zarsky's mentorship, she will help grow the Globalization and Governance Program and strengthen the human rights aspect of the International Investment Rules Project. She was selected for one of sixteen fellowships out of nearly 300 applicants nationwide.

    Christine is a recent graduate of the Georgetown Public Policy Institute in Washington, DC, where she studied the nonprofit sector and international development policy. While at Georgetown, she was a graduate research fellow at the Center for the Study of Voluntary Organizations and Service (CSVOS), where she studied under longtime social justice advocate Pablo Eisenberg.
     

    Booster youth complete marine urban wilderness voyage

    Kid on Boat Berkeley Boosters youth participated in the third Boosters overnight summer voyage with the Nautilus Institute's Pegasus Project Aug. 9-10, 2001.

    In addition to sail training aboard Pegasus, the group took a close-up, water-based tour of sea lions at Pier 39, historic vessels at Hyde Street Pier, and McCovy Cove at Pac Bell Park in San Francisco. They also toured the visitors center/museum at Ayala Cove on Angel Island and watched a short movie covering the history of the island from its geological formation, Native American history, U.S. military activity on the island from the Civil War on, and island flora and fauna.

    Participants included Deserae Flores and Breck and Katryna Shattuck. Also aboard were Boosters staff Fele Uperesa and Pegasus crew Jim Gaebe, Christine Albertsen and Paul Kassatkin.
     

August 10, 2001

    Rose Community Foundation supports research on Bay oil pollution

    The Rose Community Foundation has granted $14,000 to the Nautilus Institute to support phase 1 of the San Francisco Bay-Delta Oil Pollution Project.

    The project will compile a detailed database of oil-using and oil-emitting equipment in the area, to establish a baseline estimate of contamination that creates the precursors to oil pollution of the Bay-Delta waterways.
     

    DPRK playing "Russian card" to demonstrate its geopolitical options, Hayes tells NPR

    NPR logo North Korea's Kim Jong Il is playing his country's Russian card to show that the DPRK has geopolitical options if the United States refuses to engage with it in coming months, Nautilus Executive Director Peter Hayes said on National Public Radio Aug. 4, 2001.

    Hayes was interviewed on the news program Weekend All Things Considered regarding the recent talks between Kim and Russian President Vladimir Putin.

    Hayes said the the DPRK's reaffirmation of its long range missile test moratorium was significant. He also suggested that the announced re-entry of Russian technicians into DPRK power plants built with Russian aid would make it harder for KEDO (the Korean Peninsula Energy Development Organization) not to find a role for Russia in KEDO's light water reactor project in the DPRK.
     

    Shorebird Nature Center summer youth program hits the waves aboard Pegasus

     Fifteen youth from the Shorebird Nature Center summer program, aged nine to fifteen, participated in a voyage aboard Pegasus on the East San Francisco Bay Aug. 8, 2001.

    In strong westerly winds, they sailed from Berkeley to Richmond and back. Each kid visited the bowsprit and met marine wilderness head-on in the form of high, short, choppy waves breaking over the bow and spraying them with seawater.

    As they disembarked, the kids remarked variously that the best experience on the voyage was "the bowsprit," "the waves," "going below decks," "the crew," and the entire sail ("totally awesome").

    Crew were Christine Albertsen, Jeanne Moje, Patty Donald, and Peter Hayes.

    Go to Pegasus Project...
     

August 3, 2001

    Von Hippel, Savage discuss DPRK energy issues at Washington workshop

    The Nautilus Institute's experiences working with North Korea on energy issues were discussed by Timothy Savage, Senior Program Officer for Northeast Asia in the Global Peace and Security Program, and Senior Associate David Von Hippel at a July 31, 2001 workshop at the Mansfield Center for Pacific Affairs in Washington, DC.

    The workshop, "The NGO Experience in North Korea: Energy," was part of the Mansfield Center's project on "Developing A Critical Assessment of North Korea By Examining the Experiences of Non-Governmental Organizations (NGOs)." Funded by a grant from the Smith Richardson Foundation, the project attempts to catalog the lessons learned from on-the-ground NGO experiences about how to deal with North Korea.
     

    Kids complete overnight voyage aboard Pegasus

    On July 31 and Aug. 1, 2001, kids from the Berkeley Boosters youth-at-risk program went out for an overnight voyage on the Nautilus Institute's 51-foot ketch, Pegasus.

    Leaving Berkeley Marina with brisk 25-knot winds, Pegasus sailed around Treasure and Yerba Buena Islands, and then along the San Francisco city front to Pier 39.

    After gazing at the sea lions and the historic ships at the Maritime Park, the crew flew past Alcatraz Island back out across the bay to the final evening destination at Ayala Cove, Angel Island.

    Kids on Pegasus
    Kids aboard Pegasus, sailing away from San Francisco with Coit Tower (between cables) and TransAmerica Pyramid in background
     

July 27, 2001

    "Multiple-agent" environmental governance has advantages, Zarsky writes

    A "multiple-agent" approach to environmental governance could offer significant benefits to Asian governments, according to a recent paper by Globalization and Governance Program Director Lyuba Zarsky.

    Featured during late July 2001 on the front page of the Global Development Network Web site, the paper, "From Bystanders to Collaborators: New Roles for Civil Society In Urban-Industrial Environmental Governance In Asia," was included in the Asia Development Bank's Environment Outlook 2000.

    The paper explores an emerging approach characterized by the institutionalized engagement of civil-society groups. It outlines a pragmatic strategy for governments to reap the benefits of collaboration with civil society through investments in such areas as public environmental information.

    Read the paper ...
    [75K, requires Acrobat Reader]
     

    Information technology issues explored at international cooperation and security institute

    The use of information technology is a fundamental component of the Nautilus Institute's strategy of cooperative engagement for solving global problems. Many of the issues encompassed in Nautilus's strategy were raised at a summer institute on Information Technology, International Cooperation and Global Security held July 15-21, 2001 at the University of California-Berkeley.

    Organized by the Social Science Research Council and the Berkeley Institute of International Studies, and sponsored by the Ford Foundation, the institute featured compelling presentations on policy interaction with information communication technology, online transnational activism and violent conflict, and the role of diasporas in influencing government and institutional policy. Participants came from around the world, including India, the United Kingdom, Canada, Albania, Denmark and Russia. Nautilus Information Systems Manager Marena Drlik attended.

    Nautilus Institute will continue to explore these issues with its IT Fellow starting autumn 2001. The IT Fellowship program is funded by the Rockefeller Foundation.
     

July 20, 2001

    Kristensen analysis offers "rare glimpse" into nuclear war planning, says Bulletin of Atomic Scientists

    LogoAn analysis by Nautilus Institute Senior Program Officer Hans M. Kristensen of how China has made its way back onto the U.S. Strategic Command's list of key nuclear targets offers "a rare glimpse into the contemporary world of nuclear war planning," according to a Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists columnist.

    "The Last Word" columnist William M. Arkin, in the July/August issue of the magazine, refers to the Nautilus report "The Matrix of Deterrence," published in May, 2001. In the report, Kristensen analyses six U.S. Strategic Command force structure studies recently obtained through the U.S. Freedom of Information Act.

    The research, which was supported by the John D. and Catherine T. MacArthur Foundation and the Ploughshares Fund, will be followed later in fall 2001 by a major study on U.S. nuclear strategy toward China.
     

    Washington should treat North Korea as legitimate, South Korean scholar argues

    The United States should stop treating North Korea like a rogue state, argued Dr. Su-hoon Lee, Director of International Affairs at the Institute for Far Eastern Studies at Kyungnam University in Seoul, at a Nautilus brown bag seminar on July 17, 2001.

    Lee said that while some people seem to believe that keeping North Korea an "outcast" serves U.S. interests, in reality, incorporating North Korea into the world capitalist system would best serve the interests of all parties involved. He called on the U.S. to lift sanctions and normalize relations with Pyongyang, but warned that the Bush Administration appeared to be heading in the opposite direction.

    Lee, who also serves as a Professor of Sociology at Kyungnam University's Graduate School of North Korean Studies, is spending the month at Nautilus as a visiting fellow.
     

    Kyoto Protocol could greatly benefit Japan, Buffett argues in UPI interview

    "Japanese companies are well positioned to benefit from Kyoto Protocol-type policies and credits which would help promote renewable energy, particularly in developing countries," said Nautilus Globalization and Governance Senior Program Officer Sandy Buffett, quoted in a July 18, 2001 United Press International article.

    Large companies in Japan are ready to become involved in solar and wind energy projects in countries such as China and India, she added.

    The article highlighted the importance of Japan's position at the climate-change negotiations currently underway in Bonn, Germany.
     

July 13, 2001

    Buffett calls for binding corporate social responsibility at activist conference

    International investment rules must address the issue of investor responsibility for social and environmental impacts, according to Globalization and Governance Senior Program Officer Sandy Buffett.

    Buffett presented an overview of current investment liberalization regimes and the potential for inserting binding corporate social responsibility (CSR) into international agreements at a private finance advocacy conference for non-governmental organizations on July 6, 2001 in Amsterdam.

    The skill-sharing conference, hosted by Friends of the Earth and the National Wildlife Federation, convened more than 30 activists from Europe, North America, and Latin America to share strategies for promoting CSR in the banking and investment sectors.

    Download presentation ...
    [56K, requires Microsoft PowerPoint]

     

    Bush strategic plans contrast with military study uncovered by Nautilus, Washington Post reports

    A military study obtained by Nautilus security program officer Hans M. Kristensen under the U.S. Freedom of Information Act shows that George W. Bush is veering sharply from established defense doctrine.

    The study, "Essentials of Post-Cold War Deterrence," was prepared for the U.S. Strategic Command in 1995 to investigate the nature of nuclear deterrence and the refinements to U.S. nuclear policy that might be required to strengthen deterrence. The study was cited by the Washington Post in an article on July 5, 2001.

    The Post found stark contrast between the deterrence strategy advocated in the study and the type of deterrence proposed by President Bush. In a speech at the National Defense University on May 1, 2001, the president said that "deterrence can no longer be based solely on the threat of nuclear retaliation" and that missile defense systems must also be built to reduce the incentive for proliferation.

    Results of a Bush administration review of U.S. nuclear policy are expected to be announced in fall 2001.
     

    Korean unification institute head visits Nautilus

    The president of the Korean Institute for National Unification in Seoul visited the Nautilus Institute July 2, 2001.

    Dr. Seo Byung-chul met with Timothy Savage, Senior Program Officer in the Global Peace & Security Program, to discuss the Institute's work in North Korea.

    Dr. Seo was visiting the United States as part of the U.S. State Department's visitors program. His visit to Nautilus was organized by the International Diplomacy Council.
     

July 6, 2001

    NFWF, NOAA award $16,500 to Pegasus Project

    The National Fish and Wildlife Foundation (NFWF) has awarded $16,500 to the Nautilus Institute's Pegasus Project in support of marine environmental education.

    The grant comes from funds provided by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).

    Through a unique partnership between the Pegasus Project; the University of California-Berkeley's Marine Activities, Resources and Education Program (MARE); and the City of Berkeley's Shorebird Nature Center, the funds are being used to enhance the teaching ability of Bay Area teachers and the education of low-income East Bay students on local marine environmental issues.

    Students on Pegasus
    Local students aboard Pegasus
     

    Visiting fellow arrives at Nautilus

    Dr. Lee Dr. Su-Hoon Lee, Director of International Affairs at the Institute for Far Eastern Studies at Kyungnam University in Seoul, arrived at the Nautilus Institute June 27, 2001 to spend a month as a visiting fellow.

    Dr. Lee, who concurrently serves as Professor of Sociology at the Graduate School of North Korean Studies, will be learning about the Institute's work on DPRK energy issues.
     

    Three issues causing significant pressure to Sino-US relations, paper argues

    How the redefining of Sino-US bilateral relations, US arms sales to Taiwan, and US development of a National Missile Defense system are impacting security in East Asia, particularly Sino-US relations, is examined from the perspective of China in a paper released by the Nautilus Institute July 6, 2001.

    The paper is authored by Shen Dingli, Deputy Director of the Center for American Studies at Fudan University in Shanghai. It was presented at the March 3-4, 2001 East Asia Regional Security Futures Collaborative Workshop, co-sponsored by the Nautilus Institute and the Center for American Studies at China's Fudan University.
     

July 2, 2001

    China's strategic role growing, panelists agree

    A major increase in China's strategic role in Asia in coming decades is inevitable, posing difficult challenges for US policy in the region, agreed participants in the panel, "Developing Security Relationships with China," chaired by Nautilus Peace and Security Program Director Wade Huntley at the Carnegie International Non-Proliferation Conference in Washington, DC, June 18-19, 2001.

    Panel participants included Dingli Shen (Fudan University, PRC); Alexander Pikayev (Carnegie Moscow Center, Russia); and Chas Freeman (Projects International, United States).

    The panel provoked lively debate over the consequences of China's growing role and the merits of differing US policy response options.

    Read a summary of the presentations ...
     

    Experts call for Northeast Asia grid interconnection working group

    A regional expert working group should be formed to design grid connections between the Russian Far East, the two Koreas, and China, according to a summary report from the first Northeast Asia Power Grid Interconnection Workshop held in Beijing May 14-16, 2001.

    The report, now available, is accompanied by presentations by power system experts, electrical engineers, economists, and energy policy researchers from the DPRK and ROK, China, Russia, Japan, the United States, and Europe.

    Go to workshop pages ...
    Summary Report [requires Acrobat Reader] ...

     

    China's energy path explored in two new papers

    China's energy prospects are explored in two papers newly published by the Nautilus Institute's East Asia Energy Futures Project.

    "National Energy Futures Analysis and Energy Security Perspectives in China -- Strategic Thinking on the Energy issues in the 10th Five-Year Plan" by Ni Weidou describes general Chinese energy futures assumptions and the poly-generation system, one engineering solution to the energy security problem. Prof. Ni is a member of the Chinese Academy of Engineering and former Vice President of Tsinghua University.

    "Prospects for and impacts of diversifying fuel use away from coal" by Zhang Aling illustrates trends in heavy coal usage and discusses ways to diversify fuel sources. Prof. Zhang is a member of the US-China Energy and Environmental Technology Center of Tsinghua University.

    Go to workshop pages...
     

    Effective arms control a continuing challenge, paper argues

    With the end of the disciplines the Cold War imposed on international politics and security, the world faces challenges in understanding how arms control works in today's political arena to maintain peace and security, according to paper released by the Nautilus Institute on June 28, 2001.

    Lawrence Scheinman, Distinguished Professor of International Policy at the Monterey Institute of International Studies and Professor Emeritus at Cornell University, examines the changing challenges and opportunities for effective arms control and nonproliferation in the future.

    The paper was presented at the March 3-4, 2001 East Asia Regional Security Futures Collaborative Workshop, co-sponsored by the Nautilus Institute and the Center for American Studies at China's Fudan University.
     


Top of Page

| July-Sept. 2001 | April-June 2001 | Jan.-March 2001 |
| July-Dec. 2000 | Jan.-June 2000 |
| 1999 |
 

 
 
Nautilus Institute Publications Digital Library Policy Forum Online Nautilus Research Kiosk Signup for Nautilus Email Services Related Weblinks Nautilus Institute Home Global Peace

and Security Program Energy, Security and Environment Program Globalization and Governance Program Youth/Pegasus Program Search the Nautilus Site