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Jan-March 2002 |
Washington Post Nuclear Posture Review Article Builds on Nautilus Research
Research by Nautilus Institute senior researcher Hans M. Kristensen
provided background to the Washington Post's article on
March 23 about the Bush administration's Nuclear
Posture Review. The review, part of which was leaked to the Los
Angeles Times, caused widespread debate because of its description of
nuclear planning against Iran, Iraq, Libya, North Korea, and Syria.
The Washington Post's description of US nuclear planning referred to
declassified documents showing how US
Strategic Command studied weapons of mass destruction facilities in
those countries. The documents were obtained by Kristensen under the Freedom of Information Act
and are described in the report "U.S. Nuclear Strategy Reform in the 1990s
."
For more background documentation on US nuclear planning, visit the Nuclear Strategy
Project.
Hayes Says U.S. Not Certifying North Korea Runs Needless Risk
Vicky O'Hara
interviewed Peter Hayes on National Public Radio's Morning Edition
on the Bush Administration's decision not to certify North Korea's
compliance with U.S. laws relating to nuclear non-proliferation and to push
for an earlier resolution of the nuclear dispute with the DPRK.
He attributed the decision to domestic politics, noting: "It's been a
long-term goal of some sections of the Republican Party-and some of those
folks are now in senior positions in this Administration-to destroy the
Agreed Framework. It's an article of faith that the DPRK is a totalitarian
state with a nuclear weapons option [and] that they will never give it up."
Hayes Calls for Wide-Angled Lens on Energy Security
The first factor is the combination of market-driven technological
innovation combining new design, new materials, and information technology
that leads to the dematerialization of production and consumption. The
second, he said, may be dramatic climate changes that drive adaptive
responses by rich and poor societies alike due to their increasingly obvious
vulnerability.
Myrtle L. Atkinson Foundation Supports Nautilus Work with Youth on SF Bay
The Myrtle L. Atkinson Foundation awarded Nautilus Institute $5,000 to work
with youth and youth-at-risk on the San Francisco
Bay aboard Pegasus, the Institute vessel. The contribution will enable us
to bring more youth into the marine environment and educate them about Bay
Area ecology and the discovery of the bay as well as teach them important
life skills such as cooperation and teamwork.
Willard Middle School Students Get Their First Taste of Sailing
This sail was the first with the Berkeley Boosters for the season. We will
have after-school sails throughout the spring, introducing the youth to
sailing and training return kids. Once summer begins, we will go on
overnight voyages to Ayala Cove on Angel Island.
Corporate Accountability Project Releases Whose Business? A handbook on
corporate responsibility for human rights and the environment
Written as a guide for educators and students as well as activists and
business representatives, the handbook explores the environmental and human
rights dilemmas that corporations face in their global operations. The
handbook describes the links between environmental, labor rights, and human
rights in a context of globalization and outlines actions and resources to
promote corporate social responsibility.
The California Global Corporate Accountability Project is a collaboration
of The Nautilus Institute, Natural Heritage Institute, and Human Rights
Advocates.
To view the report in PDF click
here.
The Nautilus Institute Gives Background to Nuclear Posture Review Debate
The main lines for the Bush administration's new Nuclear Posture Review were
drawn a decade ago, Nautilus Institute Senior Researcher Hans M. Kristensen
stated in a front page article in San Jose Mercury News on
September 13. "There is a substantial history of statements and declassified
information
that provides overwhelming documentation that--declared policy or not--a
shift occurred very early on," he said.
The Nuclear
Posture Review was leaked to the Los
Angeles Times in March and has been criticized as a major change in US
nuclear policy because of its support of the development of
earth-penetrating nuclear weapons to attack states developing weapons of
mass destruction. Kristensen's research shows
that while there are many new elements in the review, it solidifies an
increasing US emphasis on targeting proliferating countries that has been
underway since the early 1990s.
Emerson Elementary Students Sail Aboard Pegasus
North Korea's Missile Sales Primarily for Revenue, Savage Tells Radio
Australia
Far from representing support for international terrorism, North Korea's
missile sales are primarily a source of revenue for a country that has few
other options, explainedTimothy Savage,
Senior Program Officer for Northeast Asia. Savage argued on Radio Australia
that the DPRK has continued to signal its willingness to halt its missile
exports in exchange for economic help, but the Bush Administration has shown
little interest in picking up where the Clinton Administration left off. He
said that while there may be support in the White House for abandoning the
1994 Agreed Framework, this course is unlikely as doing so would cause the
U.S. great problems in its relationships with South Korea and Japan.
Zarsky Trains Teachers on Global Corporate Social Responsibility
Lyuba Zarsky, Senior Fellow at the Nautilus Institute, was one of three
trainers in a Special Program to Teach the Teachers on Citizen, Consumer,
and Corporate Social Responsibility held in Seattle on March 2. Zarsky
outlined the
'stuck in the mud' dilemma that arises
when company operations are global, but environmental and social regulation
is local. Some twenty elementary and high school teachers participated in
the Program sponsored by Global Source Education and co-sponsored by Amnesty International USA.
Hayes Says That Neither Military Rollback Nor Containment Can Stop North
Korean Nuclear Threat
At his March 6, 2002 talk at the Liu
Centre for the Study of Global Issues, headed by former Canadian Foreign
Minister Lloyd Axworthy in Vancouver, Peter Hayes spoke on George Bush's
reference to North Korea as a member of the "axis of evil."
The problem, he said, is not that Bush's characterization of North Korea is
inaccurate. Rather, he asserted, "It says nothing about what is an
effective way to deal with the North Korean nuclear threat--a problem that
cannot be resolved unilaterally by any means, let alone by military
containment or rollback of the North Korean state."
Three New Papers Examine Grid Interconnection in Northeast Asia
A third perspective, that of Xiaoxin Zhou, Chief Engineer of the Electric
Power Research Institute in China, is detailed in "Power System Development
and Nationwide Grid Interconnection in China."[3] Zhou focuses on China's plans
for national interconnection and presents some barriers to a regional grid
system.
All three papers were part of Nautilus Institute's
Workshop on Power
Grid Interconnection in Northeast Asia, May 14-16, 2001.
[1]Power Grid
Interconnection in Northeast Asia - Perspectives from East Russia
Teachers Train for School Voyages and Docents Complete Sail Aboard Pegasus
Also over the weekend, eleven Shorebird Nature Center Docents had the thrill
of voyaging on Pegasus on a balmy evening, March 1, 2002. They engaged in
the on-board curriculum used on student voyages and, like the students,
closed their eyes and listened for natural and artificial sounds. They also
visited the bowspirit - always a favorite with the students!
Many Difficulties Remain with Verifying North Korea's Nuclear Program,
Savage Notes
A culture of secrecy, ignorance of
international standards, and the lack of the rule of law in the nation are
all barriers to verifying the DPRK's past
nuclear activities, Nautilus Senior Program Officer Timothy Savage told the conference on
"Verification and Non-Cooperation" held at
Wilton Park from February 22-24, and
sponsored by the Verification, Research,
Training & Information Centre. Noting that verifying past nuclear
activities requires a great deal of openness and cooperation, Savage argued
that an improvement in the political situation on the Korean Peninsula, and
particularly progress in U.S.-DPRK relations, would be the best way to
ensure that the DPRK comes into full compliance with
International Atomic Energy Agency safeguards, as
required under the 1994 U.S.-DPRK Agreed Framework.
Nautilus Representatives Speak At Tokyo Symposium
Senior researcher Hans M. Kristensen and senior associate Wade
Huntley were both invited to
address the February 23-24 symposium on "Human Security and Okinawa after
September 11" in Tokyo.
Kristensen spoke of Japan's recent enactment of a new Freedom of
Information Act and said it provides a unique tool for documenting and
challenging the basis for military policies.
Huntley addressed recent developments in US national security policy and
their effects in the region.
The symposium was organized by the International
Peace Research Institute at Meiji Gakuin University and included
speakers and participants from Japan, Okinawa, United States, and Sweden.
Lack of Regional Cooperation a Barrier to Energy Security in Northeast
Asia
Nautilus Senior Program Officer for Northeast Asia
Timothy Savage led a discussion
on regional energy security at the conference on "Japan and East Asia,"
held at Wilton Park in the
United Kingdom from February 18-21. Drawing on the results of the recent
meeting of the East Asian Energy Futures,
Savage said that although a cooperative approach is needed to solve energy
security problems in the area, numerous political, economic, and technical
barriers would first need to be overcome.
Zarsky Presses OECD Mining Conference on Sustainable Investment Rules
Lyuba Zarsky, Senior Fellow at the
Nautilus Institute, participated in the
OECD Conference "FDI and the Environment: Lessons from the Mining Sector." Held in Paris on February 7-8, the
conference explored the limits of voluntary business initiatives in a
global industry which has been the target of intense criticism for
human rights violations and environmental damage.
In her role as session chair, Zarsky emphasized the need for a work program
at the OECD to integrate sustainability into emerging global investment
rules. The conference was organized by the OECD's Environment Directorate
as part of its Global
Forum on International Investment.
New Papers Examine Grid Interconnection in Northeast Asia
Despite barriers to implementing Kyoto mechanisms in Grid interconnection
in Northeast Asia, Hyo-Sun Kim argued in her paper "Application of Kyoto Mechanisms to the Northeast Asian Electricity Grid"[1] that, with careful planning, power interconnection could be applicable as a Clean Development Mechanism Project. Kim is a senior economist at Korea Gas Corporation.
In another paper, "Local Perspective on Power Grid Interconnection in Northeast Asia: Background and Perspectives from Liaoning Province, China"
[2] Weichun Ge details information on the Northeastern China grid. According to Ge, the price of electricity through interconnection and the stability interconnection could create are key benefits. Ge is the Senior Director of the Science, Technology and Information Department in Liaoning Electric Power Company.
Both papers were
part of Nautilus Institute's Workshop on Power Grid
Interconnection in Northeast Asia, May 14-16, 2001.
[1]
Application of Kyoto Mechanisms to the Northeast Asian Electricity Grid
[2]
Local Perspective on Power Grid Interconnection in Northeast Asia: Background and Perspectives from Liaoning Province, China
Researchers Advance Work on Asia Energy-Future Scenarios
Participants spent one day examining the uncertainties of the energy
situation in the region using scenarios methodology. Nautilus research
associate Dr. David Von Hippel also led participants in two days of
intensive hands-on training of LEAP 2000, the software used in this project
for energy modeling.
Participants tentatively scheduled the fourth meeting in autumn 2002 to
present ongoing research.
New Report Examines Scenarios for Investment Governance in Post 9-11 World
The Sustainable and Ethical Investment Rules Project has released a report based on four distinct
10-year scenarios of globalization and security with a focus on advocacy
entry points for investment governance. Among the insights was that the Free
Trade Agreement of
the Americas is a fertile arena for a sustainable investment rules
framework. The scenarios were created during a recent strategic consultation
with a group of 30 NGO, policy, foundation, and business leaders from Latin
America, Asia, Africa, and North America.
The International Sustainable and Ethical Investment Rules project is a
collaboration with
IISD,
Fundacion ECOS
Uruguay, and the Singapore Institute of International Affairs.
Savage Calls for a Neutral Korea in New Publication
Timothy Savage, Nautilus Institute Senior
Program Officer for Northeast Asia, argues in a newly published article that
a move toward a neutral, unallied Korea is the best way to ensure regional
stability and prevent conflicts. Savage's article was translated into
Korean and published in Is It Posible for the Korean Peninsula to Realize
Its Neutralized Unification, edited by Lee Jae-bong and Kang Jong-il and
published by Deulyeok Publishing Company in Seoul in October 2001. The
article was originally presented at the International Conference on Korean
Reconciliation and Reunification for Global Peace held in Seoul on
August 12-14, 2001.
Savage Calls for a Neutral Korea in New Publication
New Book on Trade and Environment Includes Zarsky's Paper on APEC
In the 1990s, APEC built rapid momentum towards, but ultimately failed to
embrace, a regional environmental agenda in Asia Pacific.
In "APEC: The 'Sustainable Development' Agenda," Lyuba Zarsky, Senior Fellow
at the Nautilus Institute, argues that the key missing ingredients were the
lack of political will by Asian governments and the passion of civil
society. The paper was produced as part of the Nautilus Institute's Trade
and Environment Policy Project (TEPP) and appears in The Greening of Trade
Law, Rowman and Littlefield.
Editor Richard Steinberg collaborated in the TEPP project
Hayes Argues Presidential Emissary Needed to Jumpstart US-DPRK Dialogue
In an interview on National Public Radio aired on January 23, 2002, Peter Hayes suggested that US President George
Bush needs to appoint a high-level emissary to restart the US-DPRK
dialogue. Until then, he stated, the DPRK leadership will view US public
statements that it is willing to talk "any place any time" as lacking in
credibility.
Korea Foundation Supports Nautilus Work on North-South Energy Cooperation
The Korea Foundation awarded the Nautilus Institute $50,000 to work on "Environmental Issues in North-South Energy Cooperation." The grant marks the third year in a row that the Korea Foundation has supported Nautilus's energy work on the Korean Peninsula. Previous grants helped support the institute's work on DPRK energy issues and power grid interconnection in Northeast Asia.
Hayes Argues Presidential Emissary Needed to Jumpstart US-DPRK Dialogue
In an interview on National Public Radio aired on January 23, 2002, Peter Hayes suggested that US President George
Bush needs to appoint a high-level emissary to restart the US-DPRK
dialogue. Until then, he stated, the DPRK leadership will view US public
statements that it is willing to talk "any place any time" as lacking in
credibility.
New Voices Fellow Addresses U.N. General Assembly on Foreign Direct
Investment
Nautilus Program Officer, Christine Ahn, spoke on behalf of the NGO Caucus
on Mobilizing International Resources for Development at the Fourth
Preparatory Committee for the International Conference on Financing for
Development. Nations and institutional stakeholders gathered at the U.N. in
preparation for the March 2002 International Conference in Monterrey, Mexico.
Last week, the UN General Assembly opened up the floor for countries and
institutional stakeholders, such as the World Bank, WTO, business, and civil
society (NGOs), to submit specific language to amend the revised draft
outcome written by the FFD facilitator in previous preparatory committees.
Ahn was elected as the spokesperson to suggest new language for the NGO
caucus on the section covering mobilizing foreign direct investment. The
suggestions emphasized the need to balance private investor rights with
social responsibility and to affirm the sovereign right of states to
regulate.
Nautilus Welcomes Webmaster Jin Chen
Jin Chen has joined the Nautilus Institute as Webmaster. Jin manages the
Institute's web design and database software.
Jin has a B.S. and a M.S. in Biology from Southwest Normal University in
Chongqin, China. She also received her M.S. in Computer Science at the
California State University at Hayward in the summer of 2001, where she
acquired a background in computer programming. Her primary experience is in
web development and object-oriented design.
Individual Donors Support Nautilus
Several individual donors have extended their support to the Nautilus
Institute with generous end of the year donations.
Thanks to the charitable contributions of Alba Witkin, Robert Nisbet, Akol & Associates, Kirk Smith, and Joan Diamond to the Pegasus Project, the Institute can educate more area youths in teamwork, life skills, and Bay Area ecology through volunteer sails.
In addition, the Globalization and Governance Program received a $3000
donation from an individual wishing to remain anonymous. The donation will
support ongoing research for the Investment Rules Project.
Japanese and South Korean Perspectives on Northeast Asian Power Grid
Interconnection Explored
Leading South Korean and Japanese experts analyzed the possibility of power
grid interconnection in Northeast Asia in three new papers published by the
Nautilus Institute. Dr. Dong-wook Park of the Korea Electrotechnology
Research Institute analyzes grid interconnection from a South Korean
national perspective, while Prof. Jong-keun Park of Seoul National
University discusses the technical details of South Korea's power
system. Prof. Yasumasa Fujii of the University of Tokyo uses a linear
programming energy system model to analyze the optimal configuration for
energy transportation infrastructure in Asia. The papers were originally
presented at the Workshop on Power Grid
Interconnection in Northeast Asia held in Beijing last May.
D.W. Park, National perspectives
from the Northeast Asian region: Republic of Korea
Yasumasa Fujii, Analysis of the
Optimal Configuration of Energy Transportation Infrastructure in Asia with
a Linear Programming Energy Stystem Model
Investment Rules Must Balance Private Rights with Social
Responsibility, Lyuba Zarsky Tells California Traders
Addressing a group of California business and Congressional leaders, Lyuba Zarsky pressed for an approach to US trade, investment, and commercial
policy based not only on market success but on social and
environmental leadership. "The spread of US business overseas is like
Spiderman," she
said. "Lots of muscle but a very small head." Zarsky spoke to the annual
conference of the California Council of
International Trade, held in Monterey on January 10-11. Lyuba Zarsky is a
Senior Fellow at the Nautilus Institute and directs the International
Sustainable and Ethical Investment Rules Project.
Multilateral Approach Needed to Support Korean Reconciliation, Argue Savage and Huntley
The regional security structure in Northeast Asia will need to evolve to support Korean reconciliation and eventual reunification, argue Timothy Savage and Wade Huntley in "Potholes on the Road to Peace: The International Implications of Korean Reunification." They maintain that while inter-Korean reapprochement is the key to peace on the peninsula, a multilateral approach will be necessary to prevent surrounding nations from trying to hinder the process. Their article was presented at the conference on "The Evolution of the Korean Issue Since the Cold War" held at Fudan University in Shanghai, China, January 13-14, 2001. The conference proceedings were published in Seoul on August 29.
Savage also took part in the
Pacific Council on International Policy's Korea Task Force, which resulted in the publication of the study on "The Reshaping of Korea."
Nautilus Welcomes System Administrator Ricky Musci
Ricky Musci has joined the Nautilus Institute as System Administrator. In addition to supervising the Institute’s computer systems, Ricky edits and maintains both the web front page and the Nautilus Monthly Newsletter.
An admitted freshman deferring from Columbia University, Ricky attended the Head-Royce School in Oakland, California. During his senior year, he worked extensively on the award-winning student newspaper. Upon graduation, he was awarded the English Department Outstanding Achievement award and inducted into the Cum Laude Society. Ricky is also both a National Merit Scholar and a College Board Advanced Placement National Scholar.
Pakistan's Nuclear Forces Outlined
According to a report co-authored by Nautilus Institute senior researcher Hans M. Kristensen, President Bush lifted an embargo on the sale of F16 fighter jets to Pakistan in September 2001 to ensure
Pakistan's support for the war in Afghanistan. In 1990, Congress placed the embargo in response to Pakistan's emerging nuclear capabilities. F-16s are an essential part of Pakistan's nuclear strike force. The additional aircrafts have not yet been transfered from the U.S. to Pakistan.
Published in the January-February issue of the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, the review describes Pakistan's aircraft and ballistic missiles that are capable of delivering an arsenal of 24-48 nuclear warheads. Some of the warheads were relocated for safety reasons shortly after the war in Afghanistan began in November 2001.
Pakistan's Nuclear Forces Outlined
According to a report co-authored by Nautilus Institute senior researcher Hans M. Kristensen, President Bush lifted an embargo on the sale of F16 fighter jets to Pakistan in September 2001 to ensure
Pakistan's support for the war in Afghanistan. In 1990, Congress placed the embargo in response to Pakistan's emerging nuclear capabilities. F-16s are an essential part of Pakistan's nuclear strike force. The additional aircrafts have not yet been transfered from the U.S. to Pakistan.
Published in the January-February issue of the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, the review describes Pakistan's aircraft and ballistic missiles that are capable of delivering an arsenal of 24-48 nuclear warheads. Some of the warheads were relocated for safety reasons shortly after the war in Afghanistan began in November 2001.
Corporate Accountability Project Hosts NGO Dialogue with U.N. Human Rights
Official
The California Global Corporate Accountability Project (CAP) hosted a
dialogue in San Francisco on December 12 with Madame Fatma Vesely, Special
Rapporteur on Toxics to the Human Rights Commission. CAP Co-Director Lyuba
Zarsky presented the findings of five case studies of the global semiconductor industry demonstrating that, despite its 'clean and green' image, the high tech industry poses toxic risks, especially in
developing countries.
Some 30 NGO analysts participated in the dialogue, which Earth Justice
co-hosted.
New Voices Fellow Wins 2001 Focus Field Award for Innovative Research
Christine Ahn, a New Voices Fellow working with the Nautilus Institute,
received a 2001 Focus Field Award from the Association for Research on Nonprofit Organizations and Voluntary
Action for a paper she co-authored and presented at the 30th Annual
Conference on November 28-December 1 in Miami, Florida. Titled "Power,
Leadership and Money: Determining the Relationship of Women's Involvement in
Foundation Leadership to Grant Dollars Targeting Women's and Girls' Issues", the study examined the association between the flow of funding from private
foundations to women's and girls' issues and women's representation on
foundation boards of trustees.
The Pegasus Project Creates Online Photo, Poem, and Artwork Gallery
We will be adding to the collection in the coming months so please check
back soon. The generous support of the National
Fish and Wildlife Foundation made this gallery possible.
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Oct.-Dec.. 2001 |
July-Sept. 2001 | April-June
2001 | Jan.-March 2001 |
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In his response to authors on energy and environmental security at the 11th
Northeast Asia Economic Forum held in Anchorage Alaska, March 7, 2002, 
In two papers from Russia, researchers examine economic and technical issues
of regional connection at a practical level. Sergei Podkovalnikov, Senior
Researcher at Energy Systems Institute, highlighted the need for regional
cooperation of governments and financial institutions in "Power Grid
Interconnection in Northeast Asia - Perspectives from East Russia."
