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updated friday, June 27, 2003
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June 20, 2003

    Myrtle L. Atkinson Foundation Awards Pegasus Project $5000

     The Myrtle L. Atkinson Foundations awarded Nautilus Institute's The Pegasus Project $5000 for general program support. Funds provided will be applied toward Project Lifeskills. Project Lifeskills strives to help build a strong foundation of life skills for at-risk and disadvantaged youth through series of day sails and overnight voyages aboard a 51' ketch. Partner organizations participating in Project Lifeskills include The Berkeley Boosters and Alisa Ann Ruch Burn Foundation.

     

    Glosserman Asserts "Grand Bargain" As Only Real Solution to DPRK Nuclear Crisis

    The Nautilus Institute's DPRK Policy Forum published an essay by the director of research at Pacific Forum CSIS Brad Glosserman who argues that any real solution to the North Korean nuclear crisis will ultimately be a "Grand Bargain" with military, economic, political, and diplomatic components. One possibility is the formulation of a Korean Peninsula Nuclear Verification Regime. His essay can be found: here.

    Hayes Argues for the Importance of Grid Interconnection in Northeast Asia

    Dr. Peter Hayes, Executive Director of the Nautilus Institute, discussed power grid interconnection in Northeast Asia and why it is vital to the mission of the Korean Peninsula Economic Development Organization (KEDO). Dr. Hayes discussed grid interconnectivity and how it may play a key role in bringing stability to the Korean Peninsula in the June 2003 issue of Nuclear Engineering International.

    Pegasus Orientation Attracts New Volunteers

    A Pegasus Project crew orientation on Saturday, June 14 attracted new and experienced volunteers. Crew orientations are led by Pegasus Training Captain Bill Proctor in an effort to introduce sailors to the project and to teach safe sailing with youth aboard Pegasus. Saturday's orientation was the first of two offered in June.

June 13, 2003

    Northern California Grant Makers Funds Pegasus Summer Event

    The Pegasus Project was awarded a grant from the Northern California Grant Makers to fund an awards ceremony for Project Lifeskills participants. Partner organizations that participate in the Project Lifeskills series include the Berkeley Boosters and Alisa Ann Ruch Burn Foundation. Each of the three Lifeskills series that are scheduled to take place this summer will instill confidence and reinforce life skills in participants through day sails and overnight voyages.

    Hayes Argues for Dual Denuclearization and Development for DPRK

     On June 10, 2003, Munhwa Broadcasting Corporation from Seoul, South Korea, interviewed Peter Hayes on a range of historical and current nuclear issues relating to Korea. Peter said that: "The United States has to denuclearize and deterrorize North Korea at the same time. President Bush has nearly run out of time. He should tell Kim Jong Il that he has to show his anti-terrorist credentials now in order to get off the US terrorist listing and to get an economy as a result. Then, you slowly denuclearize North Korea as North Korea gradually gets an economy in return."

    Heiskanen Explains Linking North Korean and EU Railways

    The 2nd annual EU-Korea Conference will be held in Barcelona on June 26 and 27, 2003. Former Deputy Policy Planning Director at the Finnish Ministry of Foreign Affairs Markku Heiskanen is set to give a keynote address on the topic of North Korea and Eurasian railways. His paper published by the Nautilus institute in the North Korea Policy Forum entitled "A Multilateral Scenario For Korea; The Role Of The European Union" will also be circulated as a conference paper.

    Burn Survivors Complete Day Three of Summer Sailing Series


    On Sunday, June 8, members of Alisa Ann Ruch Burn Foundation completed the third in a series of Pegasus Project Lifeskills sails. The highlight of the voyage for both crew and youth was the sail underneath The Golden Gate Bridge just as the low clouds were lifting. The next and final voyage in this Lifeskills series will include two full days of sailing with an overnight in Ayala Cove. The voyage was captained by volunteer Captain Mark Caplin and crewed by volunteers Jim Gaebe, Christine Albertsen, Nancy Navarro, Dan Edwards, and David Driesbach.

June 7, 2003

    Compton Foundation Awards Nautilus $45,000 for North Korea Briefing Book

    The Compton Foundation awarded the Nautilus Institute a $45,000 grant in support of Phase I of the North Korea Briefing Book. The Briefing Book will contain an overarching set of policy recommendations for the US regarding North Korea and various contingencies. Phase I of the Briefing Book will also include the initial set of tabs that addresses critical topics on North Korea (ranging from technical aspects of monitoring and verification to role of allies and other powers such as China and Russia, to refugees, human rights, and humanitarian aid). Phase I of the North Korea Briefing Book will be available online in the coming weeks.

    North Korean Hackers Unlikely A Major Threat

    A Wired Magazine article on North Korean military hackers directed readers to Peter Hayes’ essay on North Korea’s information strategy and cited him on North Korea’s military hackers: "I'm sure they can get into some systems at a low level and maybe divert some things," said Hayes. "But in the big picture, a few hackers are not going to stop the flow of American men and material in a major war in Korea." On the other hand, North Korea's highly centralized IT systems are prone to "amplifying and propagating bad military decisions" and are an easy target for physical attacks by smart bombs and other means, according to Hayes.

    Hayes Argues for Re-examination of US-DPRK Strategic Goals

    Peter Hayes delivered a video-teleconference briefing to the Australian Centre for Defence and Strategic Studies in Canberra on "The Principal Drivers of Security Dynamics on the Korean Peninsula: Internal Factors and Influences."

    New Crew Learn Sailing Safety aboard Pegasus

    During a crew orientation for the Pegasus Project, new volunteers learned the basics of sailing safely with youths aboard. Led by training captain Bill Proctor, the group, which included experienced Pegasus volunteer crew, practiced person overboard drills and crew position responsibilities to ensure safe and successful youth voyages.

May 30, 2003

    Experts Formulate North Korean Nuclear Scenarios

     On May 29, 30th 2003, North Korea experts convened at the Nautilus Institute for the 2nd annual North Korea Scenarios Workshop. The two-day workshop identified specific policies and strategies for peacefully resolving the North Korean nuclear crisis. An executive summary and a report containing the scenarios will be posted shortly. The 2003 North Korea Scenarios Workshop was funded by the Korea Foundation. To read the report of last year's workshop "Scenarios for the Future of U.S.-North Korean Relations: Engagement, Containment, or Rollback?" go here.

    Hayes Calls for Boa Constrictor Strategy

     Speaking at the Commonwealth Club of California on May 27, 2003, Peter Hayes said that of six strategies that the United States can apply to North Korea, only one might work to achieve President Bush's goal of denuclearizing North Korea without a war. "A 'scalpel' strategy of surgical attacks on their nuclear facilities cannot ensure we are hitting their fissile materials. A 'nutcrucker' strategy that tries to induce a military coup against the Kim regime may fail or, worse, result in an even more reactionary regime esalating to a civil war. A 'sledgehammer' strategy to crush North Korea by all-out military attack would work, but involves vast destruction and possible use of weapons of mass destruction. A 'black hole' strategy that squeezes North Korea until it collapses is very dangerous because control of its nuclear capacities could be lost altogether, with untold consequences for Seoul or elsewhere. Simply ignoring and keeping our distance from the White Hot Deathstar won't work either--they will simply proceed to acquire nuclear weapons. That leaves only the 'boa constrictor' strategy--embracing North Korea and transforming it by unleashing precision-guided markets and non-governmental organizations to transform North Korea slowly, inside out. That strategy might work provided it is buttressed with strong external deterrence," he concluded.

    Lee and Ouellette Argue for Multilateral Energy Sector Solution to DPRK Nuclear Issue

    The Nautilus Institute's Policy Forum published a paper entitled, "Tackling DPRK's Nuclear Issue through Multilateral Cooperation in the Energy Sector," by Su-Hoon Lee and Dean Ouellette of Kyungnam University. Lee and Ouellette argue that energy sector cooperation may provide the most sound and politically acceptable solution to the DPRK nuclear issue. The paper examines Northeast Asian regional energy cooperation by reviewing North Korea's energy situation, the problems associated with KEDO, and the various regional positions toward North Korea and it's energy sector. To read the essay, click: here.

    Pegasus Crew Relives Excitement of Master Mariners Regatta

     The Pegasus crew set out on Saturday, May 24, 2003 in hopes of distinguishing itself in the Master Mariners Regatta. However, the crew's efforts were stemmed by erratic winds and tides. Nonetheless, the Pegasus crew displayed astounding resourcefulness as the choppy conditions demanded split-second decisions based on the crew's savvy maritime knowledge.

May 23, 2003

    Culver Pushes for Expanded Humanitarian Access in North Korea

    Nautilus published as a Special Report a memorandum by Co-founder and Senior Vice President of Mercy Corps International, Ellsworth Culver, that was prepared for the Task Force on U.S. Korea Policy that convened in Washington on January 9, 2003. Culver writes that China ought to declare a moratorium on the forced return of North Korean migrants and asylum seekers, pending a more durable and humane solution. Culver also argues that North Korea should repeal all laws that penalize citizens for leaving its territory or returning without authorization. The full memorandum can be read here.

    Hayes Says Bush Can Break WMD-terrorism Link in North Korea

     In a speech to the Global Lecture Series on Asia at the Sonoma State University Lifelong Learning Institute on May 20, 2003, Peter Hayes asserted that "When President Bush decides it's time to deal with the DPRK, he doesn't need to go to Congress for a dime. He just needs to get out of Kim Jong Il's face. That is, he just needs to take the DPRK off the US terrorist listing--an executive prerogative--so that the US can shift the cost burden of kick-starting the DPRK economic recovery to Japan ($10 billion reparations via World Bank) in return for DPRK nuclear dismantlement."

    "Why should the President do this?" Hayes asked. "Because he must not let the North Koreans retain either their terrorist or their nuclear capabilities. Just getting their nuclear weapons capacities isn't enough; and going after only their nuclear weapons won't work."

    "If I were President," Hayes stated, "I would charge them a high price for getting an economy. To get off of my list of terrorist states, they would have to hand over their rolodex of terrorist contacts and sign up in the global war on terrorism, to be judged by actions not words. Of course, they would also have to stop their exports of drugs, small arms, plastic explosives, and hand over the plates they use to make counterfeit dollars laundered by global terrorist organizations."

    "Bush could sell that deal to the radical Republicans because then he would truly break the WMD-terrorist linking in the DPRK by getting both sides of that equation, not just dancing a Viennese waltz that would re-impose IAEA safeguards leaving in place a nuclear-capable terrorist state with malign motivations toward the United States."

    Young Burn Survivors Continue Pegasus Sailing Series

     On Saturday May 17, 2003, young adults from Alisa Ann Ruch Burn Foundation continued to explore some of the basics of seamanship during the second in a series of Lifeskills sails aboard Pegasus. The series includes three day-long training voyages and culminates in an overnight voyage requiring the youth to use the skills that they have acquired to assist the crew. Volunteers that participated on Saturday included: Captain Mark Caplin, Mate Christine Albertsen, Dan Edwards, Nancy Navarro, and Tom Jeramiason.

May 16, 2003

    Moon Urges U.S. to Transform North Korea via Engagement

    In an open letter to United States President George W. Bush, Moon Chung-in, Professor of Political Science at Yonsei University in Seoul, urges that the most effective way of resolving the North Korean issue is not through invoking ultimatums, but by recognizing and engaging it. Moon's letter is a part of the Nautilus Institute's Policy Forum Online. Another essay by Ruediger Frank, Visiting Professor at the Weatherhead East Asian Institute of Columbia University, entitled "North Korea: 'Gigantic Change' and a Gigantic Chance," was also published on May 9, 2003.

    Take Risks to Promote Peace, Argues Ahmad

    At the Forum on Business and Peace: Building a Positive Human Future organized by Natural Strategies, Zulfiqar Ahmad stressed the need for businesses to actively support US foreign policy that promotes global peace. He suggested that businesses need to undertake iconic ventures that model a more equitable and peaceful world. The daylong forum brought leaders in business and international policy to explore the role business can play in creating a peaceful and sustainable world.

    Economist Intelligence Unit interviews Hayes

    Peter Hayes, Executive Director of the Nautilus Institute was interviewed for the May 12th, 2003 article in Business China on "North Korea, A Role for China."

    Berkeley Youth Sail on Pegasus

     On Tuesday, May 13, 2003, eleven sixth graders from Willard Middle School joined Pegasus crew for the final Shorebird Nature Center sail this season. Steady winds moved the vessel along at a swift clip and made for an exciting and slightly wet voyage. Many of the students hope to continue the Pegasus experience this summer through The Berkeley Boosters summer program.

May 9, 2003

    Breaking News...
    Posted May 9, 2003

    An essay by Ruediger Frank, Visiting Professor at the Weatherhead East Asian Institute of Columbia University, entitled "North Korea: 'Gigantic Change' and a Gigantic Chance," was published on May 9, 2003 as part of the Nautilus Institute's Policy Forum. Frank argues that the DPRK is on the brink of profound and meaningful economic reforms and the United States must tread carefully and respect this historic opportunity.

    Simons Foundation Awards Nautilus $8,000 to support NAPSnet Daily Report

    On Wednesday, May 7, 2003, the Simons Foundation of Vancouver, British Columbia awarded the Nautilus Institute an $8,000 grant to support the ongoing publication and distribution of the Northeast Asia Peace and Security Network (NAPSnet) Daily Report. With this grant, NAPSnet looks forward to continuing to provide timely news and analysis on Northeast Asia security issues to its global readership.

    Lessons Learned from 1994 US-DPRK Agreed Framework

    The Nautilus Institute published a Special Report by director of the Strategic Research Department in the Center for Naval Warfare Studies of the Naval War College Jonathan D. Pollack. The report, entitled "The United States, North Korea, and the End of the Agreed Framework," provides historical context and analysis of the factors that led to the breakdown of the 1994 Agreed Framework. Pollack also asserts several policy lessons relevant for US policy today with North Korea. Read the full report: here.

    Nautilus Argues for Renewable Energy Path in Japan

    A synthesis report for the Nautilus Institute's Collaborative Pacific Asia Regional Energy Security (PARES) Project is now available. "A Framework for Energy Security Analysis and Application to a Case Study of Japan" outlines comprehensive methods for evaluating the energy security implications of different energy "paths." In a Japan case study, an energy path emphasizing energy efficiency and renewable energy yielded a fossil fuel savings of 35 percent by 2020, which would result in a net savings of over 25 trillion Yen. Read the full report: here.

    Pegasus Sails with Alisa Ann Ruch Burn Foundation

     On Saturday May 3, 2003, six youth from the Alisa Ann Ruch Burn Foundation sailed with six Pegasus volunteer crew under a steady breeze on calm waters. The youth passengers had the opportunity to view the magnificent San Francisco Bay from a perch above the water on the bow, and then to take the helm and steer a course by compass. The sail was the first in a Project Lifeskills series of three day sails and one overnight voyage.

May 2, 2003

    Mansourov Foreshadows US-North Korea Impasse

    On Thursday, April 23, 2003, the day talks in Beijing began between the United States and North Korea, the Nautilus Institute's DPRK Policy Forum published an essay entited "North Korea Is Poised To Cross The Nuclear Rubicon: Will The Canary Die In The Mine?" by Alexandre Y. Mansourov in which he argued that the tri-lateral talks were likely to end in an impasse that threaten further escalation of nuclear tensions on the Korean peninsula. To read the essay, click here.

    Nautilus Fields Media Questions on North Korea


    April 30, 2003:
    KZYX Radio’s Takes on the World interviewed Peter on a talk back program on the current impasse between the US and the DPRK.

    April 30, 2003:
    Peter addressed a class at the College of Marin, on US policy and North Korea.

    May 1, 2003:
    Peter participated in a University of California at Berkeley School of Journalism roundtable on US nuclear weapons policy.

    May 2, 2003:
    The Korean Broadcasting System interviewed Peter on past and present South and North Korean nuclear activities and US non-proliferation policy.

    Hayes and Tannenwald Explain De-Classified Vietnam War Nuclear First-Use Study

    The May 2003 issue of the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists published a feature article by Nautilus Institute Executive Director Peter Hayes and assistant research professor at Brown University Nina Tannenwald entitled "Nixing Nukes in Vietnam." Hayes and Tannenwald contextualize the 1966 study on nuclear first-use in Vietnam, and argue that its lessons remain relevant today. To read the full article, click here. To read the Nautilus Institute's report on "Tactical Nuclear Weapons in Southeast Asia," click here.

    East Bay Youth Complete Spring Sailing Series

     With two last sails aboard the Pegasus, the Berkeley Booster youth from Longfellow and Willard junior high school completed their spring sails. Increased confidence, and collective teamwork, along with a deeper appreciation for the bay environment, were just a few of the life skills gained during the sails. Many students will return for the Berkeley Boosters Pegasus Lifeskills series this summer.

April 25, 2003

    Hayes Argues Regardless of Reprocessing DPRK Desire Negotiation

    A Special Report by Peter Hayes entitled, "North Korea's Negotiating Tactics and Nuclear Strategy," was published on April 18, 2003. Hayes asserts that whether the reprocessing plant has been turned on or not is simply a question of degree and therefore of tactics in the pending negotiations. Consequently, Hayes argues that North Korea's reprocessing threat is in fact a signal that the North is still willing to bargain with the United States. To read the full report, click here.

    Nautilus Fields Media Questions on North Korea


    April 21, 2003:
    CSPAN broadcast Peter's talk on The Future of North Korea at the World Affairs Council-Marin on its three national cable channels. Peter discussed the situation in North Korea, including that country's nuclear power program, past and present U.S. foreign policy toward North Korea, and his views on what the future holds. He answered questions from audience members. [choose photos attached]

    April 24, 2003:
    KPFA's Morning Show interviewed Peter on the US-China-DPRK talks in Beijing.

    April 24, 2003:
    BBC's The World interviewed Peter on the apparent collapse of the talks and whether DPRK has declared it has nuclear weapons.

    April 24, 2003:
    MSNBC interviewed Peter on the near-collapse of US-DPRK talks in China and the implications for the Bush Administration’s policies on nuclear weapons proliferation and North Korea.

    April 25, 2003:
    San Francisco Chronicle cites Peter on end of US-DPRK-China talks as doubting that North Korea really has nuclear weapons, despite Thursday's developments. But if the North indeed has gone nuclear, the White House needs to respond, Hayes said. "We need to provide a very clear and credible road map to China as to what the U.S. is willing to pay to get North Korea, over time, to trade in their nuclear capacity," he said. "The U.S. and China need to come up with some solutions that work... or it'll be too late, and there will be a (nuclear) test in some deep, granite mountain in North Korea."

    Brion Toss Donates Tuning Applications Workshop

     Brion Toss, Master Rigger from Port Townsend Washington conducted a hands-on tuning principles and applications workshop for Pegasus volunteers on Wednesday, April 23rd, 2003. The group tuned Pegasus’ mizzen rigging which was just in time for a breezy afternoon youth sail with the Health Professions Partnership Initiative, a program operated by the UC Berkeley School of Public Health.

April 18, 2003

    Kotler, Wolff Argue for Multilateral Response to North Korea

    In her essay entitled, Mindy Kotler, "Towards an 'Asian' North Korea," director and founder of the Japan Information Access Project in Washington, DC asserts that the Bush administration must re-evaluate its hardline, unilateral policy approach towards North Korea. David Wolff, Senior Scholar, Cold War International History Project at the Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars, asserts in his essay "A Role for Russia in Korean Settlement" that US-Russia cooperation can play a significant role in settlement of the Korean Peninsula, as it will provide security assurances to Pyongyang from a source it trusts more than the US. Both essays are a part of the Nautilus Institute's on-going DPRK Policy Forum.

    Hayes Informs PBS' Frontline on North Korea

    Dr. Peter Hayes, the executive director of the Nautilus Institute, was consulted for the making of the Frontline report "Kim's Nuclear Gamble" which aired on April 11, 2003 on PBS. The long running news series detailed the recent tensions between the United States and North Korea over the DPRK's energy program and its attempts to develop nuclear weapons. The website for the series includes wide-ranging and in-depth information on the conflict, as well as links to other web resources including the Nautilus Institute's own, "Next-Steps Workshop."

    Pegasus sails with Berkeley Youth

     On April 4, 2003, students from King Middle School in Berkeley joined volunteers Captain Paul Marbury, Jeanne Moje, Christine Albertsen, David Driesbach, and Pegasus Program Manager Lea Prince aboard Pegasus for a Berkeley Boosters after school voyage. Each student had the opportunity to sit on the bowsprit, take the helm, and assist the crew with knot tying and calling lookout.

April 11, 2003

    Kotler, Wolff Argue for Multilateral Response to North Korea

    In her essay entitled, Mindy Kotler, "Towards an 'Asian' North Korea," director and founder of the Japan Information Access Project in Washington, DC asserts that the Bush administration must re-evaluate its hardline, unilateral policy approach towards North Korea. David Wolff, Senior Scholar, Cold War International History Project at the Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars, asserts in his essay "A Role for Russia in Korean Settlement" that US-Russia cooperation can play a significant role in settlement of the Korean Peninsula, as it will provide security assurances to Pyongyang from a source it trusts more than the US. Both essays are a part of the Nautilus Institute's on-going DPRK Policy Forum.

    Hayes Informs PBS' Frontline on North Korea

    Dr. Peter Hayes, the executive director of the Nautilus Institute, was consulted for the making of the Frontline report "Kim's Nuclear Gamble" which aired on April 11, 2003 on PBS. The long running news series detailed the recent tensions between the United States and North Korea over the DPRK's energy program and its attempts to develop nuclear weapons. The website for the series includes wide-ranging and in-depth information on the conflict, as well as links to other web resources including the Nautilus Institute's own, "Next-Steps Workshop."

    Pegasus sails with Berkeley Youth

     On April 4, 2003, students from King Middle School in Berkeley joined volunteers Captain Paul Marbury, Jeanne Moje, Christine Albertsen, David Driesbach, and Pegasus Program Manager Lea Prince aboard Pegasus for a Berkeley Boosters after school voyage. Each student had the opportunity to sit on the bowsprit, take the helm, and assist the crew with knot tying and calling lookout.

April 4, 2003

    Elliott Explains Role of Economic Sanctions and North Korea

    In her essay, "The Role of Economic Leverage in Negotiations with North Korea," Research Fellow at the Institute for International Economics in Washington, D.C. Kimberly Ann Elliott outlines the strategy and potential efficacy of economic sanctions on North Korea. Her paper is part of the Nautilus Institute's DPRK Policy Forum.

    Nautilus Engages Dr. Baek Seung-Joo in Strategic ROK Discussion

     Dr. Baek Seung-Joo, Director of the Chief of the North Korea Research Team at the Korea Institute for Defense Analyses, visited the Nautilus Institute on April 1, 2003. Also visiting the Nautilus Institute was Northeast Asia Foreign Area officer of the U.S. Army Major Steve Park. Executive Director Peter Hayes and Dr. Baek discussed the range of possible actions South Korea can take to help diffuse the current standoff between the US and North Korea. Dr. Baek was briefed on the recently concluded Next Steps workshop in Washington and given an update on Nautilus' Renewable Energy project work in DPRK.

    Ahmad Challenges US Policy on Kashmir

    In a recent interview about the Kashmir conflict with an Al-jazeera reporter, Ahmad suggested that Pakistan's Kashmir policy lacks both courage and creativity. He also argued that US is likely to pursue a policy of managing rather then resolving the dispute.

    Pegasus Sails with Sonoma County Students

    On March 28, 2003, Pegasus sailed with fourth grade students from Horicon School in Sonoma County. With winds from the north gusting up to 30 knots, rotating around the vessel proved challenging and rewarding for the youth. Pegasus was crewed by volunteer Captain Mark Caplin, Paul Marbury, Jeanne Moje, Pat Scott, Tim McAnulty and Patty Donald of The Shorebird Nature Center.


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